← League One 2021-22

Fleetwood Town

Season 2021-22 · 46 matches played

Last 5LDDLL

Points

Points expected by the market

53.17

Gap

−13.17

Yield

−42.7%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	8	9.97	−1.97	−36.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	19	18	24.73	−6.73	−59.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	21	14	18.48	−4.48	−28.9%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	8	9.97	−1.97	−36.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	10	8	13.26	−5.26	−73.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	7	7	6.37	+0.63	+35.7%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	10	11.47	−1.47	−45.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	14	7	12.11	−5.11	−61.1%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Portsmouth · Home7 Aug 2021	7 Aug 2021	L 0-1	2.91	1.27	0	−1.27	−1.27	−€1.00
M2	Lincoln · Away14 Aug 2021	14 Aug 2021	L 1-2	3.64	1.06	0	−1.06	−2.33	−€1.00
M3	Sheffield Wednesday · Away17 Aug 2021	17 Aug 2021	L 0-1	4.29	0.95	0	−0.95	−3.28	−€1.00
M4	Cheltenham · Home21 Aug 2021	21 Aug 2021	W 3-2	2.70	1.36	3	+1.64	−1.64	+€1.70
M5	Plymouth · Away28 Aug 2021	28 Aug 2021	D 1-1	3.35	1.13	1	−0.13	−1.77	−€1.00
M6	Rotherham · Away11 Sep 2021	11 Sep 2021	W 4-2	5.44	0.77	3	+2.23	+0.46	+€4.44
M7	Sunderland · Home18 Sep 2021	18 Sep 2021	D 2-2	3.72	1.05	1	−0.05	+0.40	−€1.00
M8	Cambridge · Away25 Sep 2021	25 Sep 2021	D 2-2	2.44	1.45	1	−0.45	−0.05	−€1.00
M9	Milton Keynes Dons · Away28 Sep 2021	28 Sep 2021	D 3-3	5.05	0.81	1	+0.19	+0.15	−€1.00
M10	Charlton · Home2 Oct 2021	2 Oct 2021	L 1-2	2.47	1.43	0	−1.43	−1.29	−€1.00
M11	Crewe · Home16 Oct 2021	16 Oct 2021	W 3-0	2.03	1.66	3	+1.34	+0.05	+€1.03
M12	Burton · Home19 Oct 2021	19 Oct 2021	L 0-1	2.12	1.60	0	−1.60	−1.55	−€1.00
M13	Ipswich · Away23 Oct 2021	23 Oct 2021	L 1-2	4.99	0.81	0	−0.81	−2.37	−€1.00
M14	Wycombe · Home30 Oct 2021	30 Oct 2021	D 3-3	3.33	1.14	1	−0.14	−2.51	−€1.00
M15	Wigan · Home2 Nov 2021	2 Nov 2021	L 2-3	3.76	1.04	0	−1.04	−3.55	−€1.00
M16	Morecambe · Home20 Nov 2021	20 Nov 2021	L 1-2	2.14	1.59	0	−1.59	−5.14	−€1.00
M17	Oxford · Away23 Nov 2021	23 Nov 2021	L 1-3	3.89	0.97	0	−0.97	−6.11	−€1.00
M18	AFC Wimbledon · Away27 Nov 2021	27 Nov 2021	D 2-2	3.53	1.07	1	−0.07	−6.18	−€1.00
M19	Accrington · Away4 Dec 2021	4 Dec 2021	L 1-5	2.90	1.25	0	−1.25	−7.42	−€1.00
M20	Bolton · Home7 Dec 2021	7 Dec 2021	W 3-0	3.78	1.02	3	+1.98	−5.44	+€2.78
M21	Gillingham · Home11 Dec 2021	11 Dec 2021	W 2-1	1.76	1.86	3	+1.14	−4.30	+€0.76
M22	Morecambe · Away18 Dec 2021	18 Dec 2021	D 0-0	2.74	1.31	1	−0.31	−4.62	−€1.00
M23	Shrewsbury · Home26 Dec 2021	26 Dec 2021	L 0-3	2.82	1.32	0	−1.32	−5.93	−€1.00
M24	Doncaster · Away8 Jan 2022	8 Jan 2022	W 1-0	2.33	1.50	3	+1.50	−4.43	+€1.33
M25	Rotherham · Home15 Jan 2022	15 Jan 2022	W 1-0	5.72	0.73	3	+2.27	−2.17	+€4.72
M26	Charlton · Away22 Jan 2022	22 Jan 2022	L 0-2	4.74	0.85	0	−0.85	−3.02	−€1.00
M27	Plymouth · Home25 Jan 2022	25 Jan 2022	D 3-3	2.82	1.29	1	−0.29	−3.30	−€1.00
M28	Cambridge · Home29 Jan 2022	29 Jan 2022	D 1-1	2.14	1.61	1	−0.61	−3.91	−€1.00
M29	Shrewsbury · Away5 Feb 2022	5 Feb 2022	D 1-1	3.70	1.07	1	−0.07	−3.98	−€1.00
M30	Milton Keynes Dons · Home8 Feb 2022	8 Feb 2022	D 1-1	3.10	1.19	1	−0.19	−4.17	−€1.00
M31	Cheltenham · Away12 Feb 2022	12 Feb 2022	L 0-2	3.26	1.16	0	−1.16	−5.33	−€1.00
M32	Portsmouth · Away26 Feb 2022	26 Feb 2022	D 3-3	5.10	0.81	1	+0.19	−5.14	−€1.00
M33	Wigan · Away1 Mar 2022	1 Mar 2022	L 0-2	6.24	0.69	0	−0.69	−5.83	−€1.00
M34	Ipswich · Home5 Mar 2022	5 Mar 2022	L 0-2	4.32	0.94	0	−0.94	−6.77	−€1.00
M35	Sunderland · Away8 Mar 2022	8 Mar 2022	L 1-3	6.85	0.63	0	−0.63	−7.41	−€1.00
M36	Burton · Away12 Mar 2022	12 Mar 2022	L 2-3	4.14	0.95	0	−0.95	−8.36	−€1.00
M37	Wycombe · Away15 Mar 2022	15 Mar 2022	L 0-1	6.56	0.65	0	−0.65	−9.01	−€1.00
M38	Doncaster · Home19 Mar 2022	19 Mar 2022	D 0-0	2.09	1.64	1	−0.64	−9.65	−€1.00
M39	Crewe · Away2 Apr 2022	2 Apr 2022	W 3-1	2.62	1.37	3	+1.63	−8.02	+€1.62
M40	Lincoln · Home5 Apr 2022	5 Apr 2022	D 1-1	2.65	1.36	1	−0.36	−8.38	−€1.00
M41	Accrington · Home9 Apr 2022	9 Apr 2022	L 1-2	2.73	1.33	0	−1.33	−9.71	−€1.00
M42	Oxford · Home15 Apr 2022	15 Apr 2022	L 2-3	4.42	0.89	0	−0.89	−10.60	−€1.00
M43	Gillingham · Away18 Apr 2022	18 Apr 2022	D 0-0	3.21	1.18	1	−0.18	−10.78	−€1.00
M44	AFC Wimbledon · Home23 Apr 2022	23 Apr 2022	D 1-1	2.21	1.57	1	−0.57	−11.35	−€1.00
M45	Sheffield Wednesday · Home26 Apr 2022	26 Apr 2022	L 2-3	6.16	0.69	0	−0.69	−12.05	−€1.00
M46	Bolton · Away30 Apr 2022	30 Apr 2022	L 2-4	3.29	1.12	0	−1.12	−13.17	−€1.00
Total					53.17	40	−13.17		−€19.62