Points
40Points expected by the market
46.75Gap
−6.75Yield
−43.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 23 | −1.42 | −35.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 27 | 17 | −5.33 | −49.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | −0.42 | −30.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 2 | −5.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.00 | −47.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 15 | +0.61 | −24.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lincoln · Home7 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.25 |
| M2 | Plymouth · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.46 |
| M3 | AFC Wimbledon · Away17 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −1.53 |
| M4 | Morecambe · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +0.03 |
| M5 | Shrewsbury · Away28 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −1.12 |
| M6 | Burton · Away11 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −1.23 |
| M7 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home18 Sep 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.14 | −2.37 |
| M8 | Charlton · Home21 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −2.58 |
| M9 | Oxford · Away25 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | −2.34 |
| M10 | Cambridge · Away28 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.96 | −0.37 |
| M11 | Wigan · Home2 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −1.28 |
| M12 | Wycombe · Away9 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −1.98 |
| M13 | Sunderland · Home16 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −2.86 |
| M14 | Doncaster · Home19 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −1.42 |
| M15 | Bolton · Away23 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.18 | −1.24 |
| M16 | Accrington · Home30 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | −1.70 |
| M17 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away13 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | −1.50 |
| M18 | Crewe · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.56 |
| M19 | Cheltenham · Home23 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −3.77 |
| M20 | Portsmouth · Home27 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −4.71 |
| M21 | Rotherham · Away7 Dec 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.39 | −5.10 |
| M22 | Fleetwood Town · Away11 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −5.99 |
| M23 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away1 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.31 | −5.69 |
| M24 | Ipswich · Home8 Jan 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.90 | −6.58 |
| M25 | Burton · Home15 Jan 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −7.71 |
| M26 | Wigan · Away22 Jan 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.52 | −8.23 |
| M27 | Shrewsbury · Home25 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −8.34 |
| M28 | Oxford · Home29 Jan 2022 | L 2-7 | 0 | −0.95 | −9.29 |
| M29 | Crewe · Home1 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −7.66 |
| M30 | Ipswich · Away5 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.61 | −8.27 |
| M31 | Cambridge · Home8 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −6.73 |
| M32 | Morecambe · Away12 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −6.77 |
| M33 | Plymouth · Home19 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −7.89 |
| M34 | AFC Wimbledon · Home22 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | −8.35 |
| M35 | Lincoln · Away26 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.24 | −6.11 |
| M36 | Bolton · Home5 Mar 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −7.15 |
| M37 | Doncaster · Away12 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −5.55 |
| M38 | Charlton · Away15 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −6.41 |
| M39 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home19 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.33 | −6.09 |
| M40 | Accrington · Away26 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.10 | −3.99 |
| M41 | Sunderland · Away2 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.58 | −4.57 |
| M42 | Wycombe · Home9 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −4.44 |
| M43 | Cheltenham · Away15 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.13 | −4.57 |
| M44 | Fleetwood Town · Home18 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | −5.08 |
| M45 | Portsmouth · Away23 Apr 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −5.97 |
| M46 | Rotherham · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −6.75 |
| Total | 40 | −6.75 | |||