Points
89Points expected by the market
70.44Gap
+18.56Yield
+31.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.62 | −34.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 43 | +9.25 | +29.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 39 | +8.88 | +33.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.06 | +97.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.62 | −34.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 30 | +8.19 | +39.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −1.36 | −18.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 13 | +1.06 | +14.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 28 | +10.24 | +67.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.06 | +97.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bolton · Away7 Aug 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.17 |
| M2 | Sunderland · Home14 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.40 |
| M3 | Charlton · Home17 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.23 |
| M4 | Ipswich · Away21 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.27 |
| M5 | Accrington · Home28 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +1.56 |
| M6 | Cheltenham · Away4 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | +1.38 |
| M7 | Portsmouth · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +2.93 |
| M8 | Gillingham · Away18 Sep 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +4.34 |
| M9 | Wycombe · Home25 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +5.82 |
| M10 | Fleetwood Town · Home28 Sep 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.94 | +4.88 |
| M11 | Doncaster · Away2 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | +2.97 |
| M12 | Shrewsbury · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | +1.37 |
| M13 | Wigan · Away19 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +3.27 |
| M14 | Rotherham · Home23 Oct 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.22 | +2.04 |
| M15 | Crewe · Away30 Oct 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +3.40 |
| M16 | Cambridge · Home13 Nov 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +4.45 |
| M17 | Burton · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +5.68 |
| M18 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away23 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +4.48 |
| M19 | Morecambe · Away27 Nov 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +5.77 |
| M20 | Plymouth · Home8 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +5.20 |
| M21 | Oxford · Home11 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | +3.91 |
| M22 | Lincoln · Away26 Dec 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.69 | +5.60 |
| M23 | Gillingham · Home1 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.09 | +4.51 |
| M24 | Accrington · Away8 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +4.05 |
| M25 | AFC Wimbledon · Home11 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +5.26 |
| M26 | Portsmouth · Away15 Jan 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +7.12 |
| M27 | Doncaster · Home22 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.28 | +4.84 |
| M28 | Burton · Away25 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +6.56 |
| M29 | Wycombe · Away29 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +8.28 |
| M30 | Lincoln · Home5 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +9.57 |
| M31 | Fleetwood Town · Away8 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +9.04 |
| M32 | Ipswich · Home12 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +8.65 |
| M33 | Sunderland · Away19 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +10.54 |
| M34 | Charlton · Away22 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +12.16 |
| M35 | Bolton · Home26 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +13.55 |
| M36 | Rotherham · Away5 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | +15.56 |
| M37 | Cheltenham · Home8 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +16.75 |
| M38 | Wigan · Home12 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +16.26 |
| M39 | Cambridge · Away19 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +17.47 |
| M40 | Shrewsbury · Home2 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +18.70 |
| M41 | Crewe · Home5 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.66 | +19.35 |
| M42 | AFC Wimbledon · Away9 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +18.66 |
| M43 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home16 Apr 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +17.26 |
| M44 | Oxford · Away19 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +16.11 |
| M45 | Morecambe · Home23 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +17.04 |
| M46 | Plymouth · Away30 Apr 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +18.56 |
| Total | 89 | +18.56 | |||