Points
42Points expected by the market
48.64Gap
−6.64Yield
−28.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.15 | −42.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 20 | −1.30 | −10.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 26 | 18 | −4.19 | −39.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.15 | −42.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +1.96 | +8.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 9 | +0.33 | −10.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −3.26 | −45.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 9 | −4.52 | −54.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Ipswich · Away7 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.27 |
| M2 | Shrewsbury · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.89 |
| M3 | Rotherham · Home17 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | +0.84 |
| M4 | Gillingham · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −0.43 |
| M5 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home28 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.09 | +1.65 |
| M6 | AFC Wimbledon · Home11 Sep 2021 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.24 | +0.41 |
| M7 | Doncaster · Away18 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −0.79 |
| M8 | Crewe · Away21 Sep 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +1.13 |
| M9 | Accrington · Home25 Sep 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.41 | +0.72 |
| M10 | Lincoln · Home28 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +2.51 |
| M11 | Wycombe · Away2 Oct 2021 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.77 | +1.75 |
| M12 | Burton · Away15 Oct 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +0.60 |
| M13 | Cheltenham · Away19 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −0.47 |
| M14 | Plymouth · Home23 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.53 |
| M15 | Oxford · Away30 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.70 | −1.23 |
| M16 | Cambridge · Home2 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −2.83 |
| M17 | Fleetwood Town · Away20 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −0.96 |
| M18 | Charlton · Home23 Nov 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.95 |
| M19 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home27 Nov 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.97 |
| M20 | Sunderland · Away7 Dec 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.58 | −2.55 |
| M21 | Portsmouth · Away11 Dec 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −3.24 |
| M22 | Fleetwood Town · Home18 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | −3.64 |
| M23 | Crewe · Home29 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −5.06 |
| M24 | Doncaster · Home2 Jan 2022 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.12 | −3.94 |
| M25 | AFC Wimbledon · Away15 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | −4.02 |
| M26 | Wigan · Home18 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −4.81 |
| M27 | Wycombe · Home22 Jan 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.87 | −2.94 |
| M28 | Accrington · Away29 Jan 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | −2.95 |
| M29 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away1 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.68 | −3.64 |
| M30 | Bolton · Home5 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −3.75 |
| M31 | Lincoln · Away8 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −4.70 |
| M32 | Gillingham · Home12 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −5.37 |
| M33 | Rotherham · Away22 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −5.93 |
| M34 | Ipswich · Home26 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −5.94 |
| M35 | Plymouth · Away5 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −6.77 |
| M36 | Bolton · Away8 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −6.50 |
| M37 | Cheltenham · Home12 Mar 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −7.83 |
| M38 | Shrewsbury · Away15 Mar 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.86 | −8.70 |
| M39 | Wigan · Away19 Mar 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.65 | −9.35 |
| M40 | Burton · Home2 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −7.58 |
| M41 | Oxford · Home5 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | −5.61 |
| M42 | Cambridge · Away9 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −7.03 |
| M43 | Charlton · Away15 Apr 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.07 | −4.96 |
| M44 | Portsmouth · Home18 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −5.13 |
| M45 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away23 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −5.83 |
| M46 | Sunderland · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −6.64 |
| Total | 42 | −6.64 | |||