Points
76Points expected by the market
72.10Gap
+3.90Yield
−2.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.25 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 48 | +9.29 | +26.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 25 | −3.11 | −12.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.25 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 35 | +7.36 | +32.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | −0.32 | −18.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +1.93 | +12.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 17 | −2.79 | −10.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.06 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cambridge · Away7 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −0.66 |
| M2 | Charlton · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +0.88 |
| M3 | Crewe · Home17 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +1.97 |
| M4 | Bolton · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | +0.62 |
| M5 | Lincoln · Home28 Aug 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.93 |
| M6 | AFC Wimbledon · Away4 Sep 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.42 | +0.51 |
| M7 | Wycombe · Home11 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | +0.02 |
| M8 | Cheltenham · Away18 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −1.38 |
| M9 | Gillingham · Home25 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | −2.38 |
| M10 | Accrington · Home28 Sep 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −1.19 |
| M11 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away2 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +0.70 |
| M12 | Plymouth · Home16 Oct 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.73 | −1.03 |
| M13 | Shrewsbury · Home19 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +0.12 |
| M14 | Burton · Away23 Oct 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.68 |
| M15 | Morecambe · Home30 Oct 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.91 | +2.59 |
| M16 | Ipswich · Away13 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +2.44 |
| M17 | Fleetwood Town · Home23 Nov 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +3.66 |
| M18 | Rotherham · Home27 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | +3.69 |
| M19 | Sunderland · Away4 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +3.62 |
| M20 | Doncaster · Away7 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +4.54 |
| M21 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away11 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +6.12 |
| M22 | Wigan · Home18 Dec 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.25 | +4.86 |
| M23 | AFC Wimbledon · Home29 Dec 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +5.98 |
| M24 | Cheltenham · Home1 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.06 | +4.91 |
| M25 | Lincoln · Away8 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +3.52 |
| M26 | Wycombe · Away15 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | +2.21 |
| M27 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home22 Jan 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.58 | +3.78 |
| M28 | Gillingham · Away29 Jan 2022 | W 7-2 | 3 | +1.21 | +4.99 |
| M29 | Wigan · Away1 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | +4.90 |
| M30 | Portsmouth · Home5 Feb 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.42 | +6.32 |
| M31 | Accrington · Away8 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.52 | +4.81 |
| M32 | Bolton · Home12 Feb 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.65 | +3.16 |
| M33 | Charlton · Away19 Feb 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +4.83 |
| M34 | Crewe · Away22 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +5.85 |
| M35 | Cambridge · Home26 Feb 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.95 | +6.80 |
| M36 | Portsmouth · Away1 Mar 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +5.63 |
| M37 | Burton · Home5 Mar 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +6.66 |
| M38 | Shrewsbury · Away12 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +8.20 |
| M39 | Ipswich · Home19 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +7.90 |
| M40 | Plymouth · Away2 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +6.65 |
| M41 | Morecambe · Away5 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | +4.94 |
| M42 | Sunderland · Home9 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +3.56 |
| M43 | Fleetwood Town · Away15 Apr 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.14 | +4.70 |
| M44 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home19 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +6.12 |
| M45 | Rotherham · Away23 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +5.15 |
| M46 | Doncaster · Home30 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.25 | +3.90 |
| Total | 76 | +3.90 | |||