Points
80Points expected by the market
65.27Gap
+14.73Yield
+17.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 41 | +8.50 | +22.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 31 | +7.02 | +30.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 8 | −0.79 | −18.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 27 | +5.85 | +24.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 19 | +5.03 | +51.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +2.64 | +18.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.99 | +4.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +0.29 | −7.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Rotherham · Away7 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.79 |
| M2 | Gillingham · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.68 |
| M3 | Cambridge · Home17 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | −0.16 |
| M4 | Shrewsbury · Away21 Aug 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.59 |
| M5 | Fleetwood Town · Home28 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | +0.99 |
| M6 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home11 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +2.80 |
| M7 | AFC Wimbledon · Away18 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +4.58 |
| M8 | Portsmouth · Away21 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | +4.56 |
| M9 | Doncaster · Home25 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +5.65 |
| M10 | Crewe · Home28 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | +4.84 |
| M11 | Lincoln · Away2 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | +4.67 |
| M12 | Burton · Home9 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +6.06 |
| M13 | Oxford · Away16 Oct 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.00 | +8.06 |
| M14 | Bolton · Home19 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +9.41 |
| M15 | Morecambe · Away23 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +8.73 |
| M16 | Ipswich · Home30 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +10.38 |
| M17 | Accrington · Away13 Nov 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +11.75 |
| M18 | Charlton · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +10.53 |
| M19 | Wycombe · Home23 Nov 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.54 | +8.99 |
| M20 | Wigan · Home27 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +7.61 |
| M21 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away8 Dec 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +7.44 |
| M22 | Sunderland · Away11 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +6.46 |
| M23 | Charlton · Home18 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +7.95 |
| M24 | Cheltenham · Away26 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +9.39 |
| M25 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away15 Jan 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.10 | +8.29 |
| M26 | Lincoln · Home22 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | +6.67 |
| M27 | Fleetwood Town · Away25 Jan 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.43 | +6.25 |
| M28 | Doncaster · Away29 Jan 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +7.55 |
| M29 | Crewe · Away8 Feb 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +9.09 |
| M30 | Shrewsbury · Home12 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +10.42 |
| M31 | Gillingham · Away19 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +11.82 |
| M32 | Cambridge · Away22 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.61 | +10.21 |
| M33 | Rotherham · Home26 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | +9.13 |
| M34 | Morecambe · Home5 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +10.21 |
| M35 | AFC Wimbledon · Home8 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +11.26 |
| M36 | Bolton · Away12 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +13.19 |
| M37 | Portsmouth · Home15 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +14.78 |
| M38 | Accrington · Home19 Mar 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +16.07 |
| M39 | Cheltenham · Home22 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +17.20 |
| M40 | Ipswich · Away26 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | +16.36 |
| M41 | Oxford · Home2 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +17.87 |
| M42 | Burton · Away9 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | +17.30 |
| M43 | Wycombe · Away15 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +16.25 |
| M44 | Sunderland · Home18 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | +15.93 |
| M45 | Wigan · Away23 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | +15.98 |
| M46 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.25 | +14.73 |
| Total | 80 | +14.73 | |||