Points
73Points expected by the market
70.45Gap
+2.55Yield
−6.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 38 | +3.63 | +3.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 31 | +0.69 | +0.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.56 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 30 | +2.60 | +7.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 14 | +4.12 | +56.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +1.03 | −12.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 17 | −3.43 | −25.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.56 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fleetwood Town · Away7 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.57 |
| M2 | Crewe · Home14 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +2.74 |
| M3 | Shrewsbury · Home17 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +3.75 |
| M4 | Doncaster · Away21 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | +3.18 |
| M5 | Wigan · Away28 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +1.93 |
| M6 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | +0.67 |
| M7 | Cambridge · Home18 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.02 | −1.35 |
| M8 | Plymouth · Home21 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.70 | −2.06 |
| M9 | Charlton · Away25 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | −2.43 |
| M10 | Burton · Away28 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −3.89 |
| M11 | Sunderland · Home2 Oct 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −2.24 |
| M12 | Rotherham · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.89 | −3.12 |
| M13 | Ipswich · Home19 Oct 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.51 | −4.64 |
| M14 | Accrington · Away23 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | −5.18 |
| M15 | Bolton · Home30 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −3.82 |
| M16 | Cheltenham · Home2 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | −4.69 |
| M17 | Wycombe · Away13 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −2.84 |
| M18 | AFC Wimbledon · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | −1.66 |
| M19 | Lincoln · Away23 Nov 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.06 |
| M20 | Gillingham · Away27 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +1.27 |
| M21 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home7 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +0.73 |
| M22 | Morecambe · Home11 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +1.63 |
| M23 | Cambridge · Away3 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | +1.00 |
| M24 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home15 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −0.58 |
| M25 | AFC Wimbledon · Away18 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | −1.18 |
| M26 | Sunderland · Away22 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.19 |
| M27 | Charlton · Home31 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.64 | −3.83 |
| M28 | Oxford · Away5 Feb 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −4.97 |
| M29 | Burton · Home8 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −3.66 |
| M30 | Doncaster · Home12 Feb 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.79 | −2.87 |
| M31 | Shrewsbury · Away22 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −1.27 |
| M32 | Fleetwood Town · Home26 Feb 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.93 | −2.19 |
| M33 | Oxford · Home1 Mar 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.74 |
| M34 | Accrington · Home5 Mar 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +0.49 |
| M35 | Crewe · Away8 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +1.53 |
| M36 | Ipswich · Away12 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | +1.51 |
| M37 | Plymouth · Away15 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | +0.21 |
| M38 | Wycombe · Home19 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.27 |
| M39 | Bolton · Away5 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.51 |
| M40 | Cheltenham · Away9 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −1.99 |
| M41 | Rotherham · Home12 Apr 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −0.21 |
| M42 | Lincoln · Home15 Apr 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.02 | +0.81 |
| M43 | Morecambe · Away18 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +0.26 |
| M44 | Gillingham · Home23 Apr 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +1.41 |
| M45 | Wigan · Home26 Apr 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.78 | +3.19 |
| M46 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away30 Apr 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.64 | +2.55 |
| Total | 73 | +2.55 | |||