Points
90Points expected by the market
85.62Gap
+4.38Yield
+2.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 30 | +7.69 | +39.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 26 | 45 | −3.79 | −11.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +0.47 | −1.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 24 | +6.13 | +39.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 24 | −2.26 | −10.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.55 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.57 | +40.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 21 | −1.53 | −11.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +2.01 | +9.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Plymouth · Home7 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +1.03 |
| M2 | Wigan · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −0.43 |
| M3 | Morecambe · Away17 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +0.90 |
| M4 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home21 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −0.65 |
| M5 | Doncaster · Home28 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +0.25 |
| M6 | Fleetwood Town · Home11 Sep 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.97 | −1.72 |
| M7 | Lincoln · Away14 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −2.21 |
| M8 | Bolton · Away18 Sep 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −0.65 |
| M9 | Crewe · Home25 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.07 | −1.72 |
| M10 | AFC Wimbledon · Home28 Sep 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −0.77 |
| M11 | Cheltenham · Away2 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +0.26 |
| M12 | Portsmouth · Home16 Oct 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +1.41 |
| M13 | Wycombe · Home19 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | +0.60 |
| M14 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away23 Oct 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.11 |
| M15 | Sunderland · Home30 Oct 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.46 |
| M16 | Charlton · Away2 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +2.73 |
| M17 | Cambridge · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.76 | +3.49 |
| M18 | Ipswich · Away23 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +5.12 |
| M19 | Oxford · Away27 Nov 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.78 | +4.34 |
| M20 | Gillingham · Home7 Dec 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.54 | +4.89 |
| M21 | Burton · Home11 Dec 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +5.73 |
| M22 | Cambridge · Away18 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +6.65 |
| M23 | Accrington · Away26 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.09 | +4.57 |
| M24 | Bolton · Home1 Jan 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.80 | +5.36 |
| M25 | Fleetwood Town · Away15 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.03 | +3.34 |
| M26 | Cheltenham · Home22 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +4.14 |
| M27 | Crewe · Away29 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +5.00 |
| M28 | Doncaster · Away1 Feb 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +5.71 |
| M29 | Accrington · Home5 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.80 | +6.51 |
| M30 | AFC Wimbledon · Away8 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +7.55 |
| M31 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away13 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +9.10 |
| M32 | Wigan · Home18 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +8.39 |
| M33 | Morecambe · Home22 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +9.15 |
| M34 | Plymouth · Away26 Feb 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +10.50 |
| M35 | Shrewsbury · Away1 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | +9.87 |
| M36 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home5 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | +8.12 |
| M37 | Wycombe · Away12 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | +7.65 |
| M38 | Lincoln · Home15 Mar 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.82 | +8.46 |
| M39 | Shrewsbury · Home19 Mar 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.85 | +6.61 |
| M40 | Charlton · Home9 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.09 | +4.52 |
| M41 | Portsmouth · Away12 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.49 | +3.03 |
| M42 | Ipswich · Home16 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +4.43 |
| M43 | Burton · Away19 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.99 | +2.45 |
| M44 | Oxford · Home23 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +3.68 |
| M45 | Sunderland · Away26 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +3.35 |
| M46 | Gillingham · Away30 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +4.38 |
| Total | 90 | +4.38 | |||