Points
50Points expected by the market
57.99Gap
−7.99Yield
−27.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −0.60 | −24.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 30 | −0.56 | −3.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 7 | −6.83 | −67.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 12 | +0.03 | −13.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 20 | +3.71 | +35.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −2.19 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.63 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 10 | −4.27 | −45.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 5 | −4.64 | −55.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Burton · Home7 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | −1.52 |
| M2 | Morecambe · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −2.84 |
| M3 | Portsmouth · Away17 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.77 | −3.61 |
| M4 | Plymouth · Home21 Aug 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.46 | −5.06 |
| M5 | Gillingham · Home28 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | −3.62 |
| M6 | Accrington · Away4 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −4.71 |
| M7 | Crewe · Home11 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −5.22 |
| M8 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away18 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | −5.05 |
| M9 | AFC Wimbledon · Home25 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −3.44 |
| M10 | Wycombe · Home28 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −4.54 |
| M11 | Bolton · Away2 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −5.43 |
| M12 | Ipswich · Away9 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −6.34 |
| M13 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home16 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −4.47 |
| M14 | Oxford · Away19 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −5.36 |
| M15 | Cambridge · Home23 Oct 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −3.99 |
| M16 | Lincoln · Away30 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −4.13 |
| M17 | Cheltenham · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −5.40 |
| M18 | Sunderland · Home23 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −5.49 |
| M19 | Charlton · Home27 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −3.68 |
| M20 | Wigan · Away8 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −4.46 |
| M21 | Doncaster · Away11 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −6.02 |
| M22 | Cheltenham · Home18 Dec 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −4.55 |
| M23 | Fleetwood Town · Away26 Dec 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −2.92 |
| M24 | Accrington · Home29 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | −3.55 |
| M25 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home2 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −1.88 |
| M26 | Crewe · Away15 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | −2.51 |
| M27 | Bolton · Home22 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −4.09 |
| M28 | Gillingham · Away25 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −4.67 |
| M29 | AFC Wimbledon · Away29 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −4.96 |
| M30 | Fleetwood Town · Home5 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −5.58 |
| M31 | Wycombe · Away8 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | −5.56 |
| M32 | Plymouth · Away12 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −6.62 |
| M33 | Portsmouth · Home22 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −7.90 |
| M34 | Burton · Away26 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −6.05 |
| M35 | Rotherham · Home1 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −6.10 |
| M36 | Cambridge · Away5 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −6.39 |
| M37 | Oxford · Home12 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −7.64 |
| M38 | Morecambe · Home15 Mar 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.15 | −6.49 |
| M39 | Rotherham · Away19 Mar 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.14 | −4.35 |
| M40 | Lincoln · Home26 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −2.98 |
| M41 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away2 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −3.90 |
| M42 | Ipswich · Home9 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −4.06 |
| M43 | Sunderland · Away15 Apr 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −4.81 |
| M44 | Doncaster · Home18 Apr 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.03 | −5.84 |
| M45 | Charlton · Away23 Apr 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −7.05 |
| M46 | Wigan · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −7.99 |
| Total | 50 | −7.99 | |||