Points
83Points expected by the market
71.16Gap
+11.84Yield
+4.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.43 | +42.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 41 | +7.27 | +16.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 32 | +4.11 | +2.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.43 | +42.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 24 | +4.37 | +16.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +1.52 | +10.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +2.90 | +17.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +2.58 | −3.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.96 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Accrington · Home7 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.33 |
| M2 | Cheltenham · Away14 Aug 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +3.06 |
| M3 | Wigan · Away17 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +2.80 |
| M4 | Lincoln · Home21 Aug 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +4.26 |
| M5 | Sunderland · Away28 Aug 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.95 | +3.31 |
| M6 | Oxford · Away11 Sep 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +3.08 |
| M7 | Charlton · Home18 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +4.33 |
| M8 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away25 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | +3.13 |
| M9 | Shrewsbury · Away28 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +4.52 |
| M10 | Morecambe · Home2 Oct 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.01 | +5.53 |
| M11 | Gillingham · Home9 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +6.45 |
| M12 | Doncaster · Away16 Oct 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +7.74 |
| M13 | Rotherham · Away19 Oct 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | +7.80 |
| M14 | Crewe · Home23 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +8.69 |
| M15 | Fleetwood Town · Away30 Oct 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.56 | +8.13 |
| M16 | Ipswich · Home2 Nov 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.46 | +6.67 |
| M17 | Portsmouth · Home13 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | +5.09 |
| M18 | Bolton · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +6.44 |
| M19 | Plymouth · Away23 Nov 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +8.24 |
| M20 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away27 Nov 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | +8.10 |
| M21 | Burton · Home7 Dec 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +9.60 |
| M22 | AFC Wimbledon · Home11 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | +8.79 |
| M23 | Ipswich · Away29 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | +7.71 |
| M24 | Charlton · Away1 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +9.55 |
| M25 | Sunderland · Home8 Jan 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.34 | +9.22 |
| M26 | Bolton · Away11 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +10.80 |
| M27 | Oxford · Home15 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +12.38 |
| M28 | Morecambe · Away22 Jan 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.59 | +10.79 |
| M29 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home29 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | +9.35 |
| M30 | Shrewsbury · Home8 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.73 | +8.62 |
| M31 | Lincoln · Away12 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +8.21 |
| M32 | Cheltenham · Home19 Feb 2022 | D 5-5 | 1 | −0.80 | +7.42 |
| M33 | Wigan · Home22 Feb 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.28 | +6.14 |
| M34 | Accrington · Away26 Feb 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.33 | +4.80 |
| M35 | Cambridge · Home1 Mar 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +5.90 |
| M36 | Crewe · Away5 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +7.10 |
| M37 | Rotherham · Home12 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +6.87 |
| M38 | Fleetwood Town · Home15 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +7.73 |
| M39 | Portsmouth · Away19 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +7.51 |
| M40 | Doncaster · Home2 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +8.19 |
| M41 | Cambridge · Away5 Apr 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +9.35 |
| M42 | Gillingham · Away9 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | +8.47 |
| M43 | Plymouth · Home15 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +9.78 |
| M44 | AFC Wimbledon · Away18 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +9.09 |
| M45 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home23 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +10.82 |
| M46 | Burton · Away30 Apr 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +11.84 |
| Total | 83 | +11.84 | |||