← League One 2022-23

Accrington

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLWLW

Points

Points expected by the market

49.94

Gap

−5.94

Yield

−18.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	7	5.32	+1.68	+25.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	21	25	26.83	−1.83	−2.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	22	12	17.79	−5.79	−39.8%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	7	5.32	+1.68	+25.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	15	17.99	−2.99	−17.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	6	1	5.43	−4.43	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	10	8.83	+1.17	+28.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more	16	11	12.37	−1.37	−17.3%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Charlton · Home30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	D 2-2	2.79	1.28	1	−0.28	−0.28	−€1.00
M2	Shrewsbury · Away6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	W 1-0	3.38	1.12	3	+1.88	+1.60	+€2.38
M3	Burton · Home13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	D 4-4	1.85	1.78	1	−0.78	+0.81	−€1.00
M4	Milton Keynes Dons · Away20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	D 1-1	3.61	1.07	1	−0.07	+0.75	−€1.00
M5	Exeter · Home27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	D 0-0	2.71	1.31	1	−0.31	+0.43	−€1.00
M6	Ipswich · Home3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	L 0-2	4.63	0.86	0	−0.86	−0.43	−€1.00
M7	Forest Green · Away6 Sep 2022	6 Sep 2022	L 1-2	2.88	1.26	0	−1.26	−1.69	−€1.00
M8	Wycombe · Away13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	L 0-1	3.68	1.02	0	−1.02	−2.71	−€1.00
M9	Cheltenham · Home17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	W 1-0	1.95	1.71	3	+1.29	−1.42	+€0.95
M10	Bristol Rovers · Away24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	W 1-0	2.64	1.34	3	+1.66	+0.24	+€1.64
M11	Morecambe · Home1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	W 3-1	1.81	1.82	3	+1.18	+1.42	+€0.81
M12	Plymouth · Away8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	L 0-3	4.40	0.87	0	−0.87	+0.54	−€1.00
M13	Derby · Home15 Oct 2022	15 Oct 2022	L 0-3	3.20	1.15	0	−1.15	−0.61	−€1.00
M14	Bolton · Home22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	L 2-3	3.12	1.18	0	−1.18	−1.79	−€1.00
M15	Peterborough · Away25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	L 1-3	5.27	0.76	0	−0.76	−2.55	−€1.00
M16	Fleetwood Town · Away29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	L 0-3	3.09	1.18	0	−1.18	−3.73	−€1.00
M17	Lincoln · Away1 Nov 2022	1 Nov 2022	D 1-1	2.84	1.27	1	−0.27	−4.00	−€1.00
M18	Sheffield Wednesday · Home12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	L 0-1	4.84	0.82	0	−0.82	−4.82	−€1.00
M19	Cambridge · Away19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	W 1-0	3.00	1.21	3	+1.79	−3.03	+€2.00
M20	Oxford · Home3 Dec 2022	3 Dec 2022	D 1-1	3.20	1.14	1	−0.14	−3.18	−€1.00
M21	Barnsley · Home26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	D 1-1	3.50	1.09	1	−0.09	−3.26	−€1.00
M22	Morecambe · Away29 Dec 2022	29 Dec 2022	L 0-2	2.44	1.45	0	−1.45	−4.71	−€1.00
M23	Derby · Away2 Jan 2023	2 Jan 2023	L 0-4	6.89	0.63	0	−0.63	−5.34	−€1.00
M24	Bristol Rovers · Home14 Jan 2023	14 Jan 2023	W 2-0	2.62	1.34	3	+1.66	−3.68	+€1.62
M25	Barnsley · Away21 Jan 2023	21 Jan 2023	L 1-3	5.88	0.71	0	−0.71	−4.39	−€1.00
M26	Lincoln · Home4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	L 0-3	2.45	1.45	0	−1.45	−5.83	−€1.00
M27	Port Vale · Away7 Feb 2023	7 Feb 2023	D 1-1	4.89	0.84	1	+0.16	−5.67	−€1.00
M28	Cheltenham · Away11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	D 0-0	4.16	0.94	1	+0.06	−5.62	−€1.00
M29	Wycombe · Home14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	L 0-2	4.05	0.96	0	−0.96	−6.58	−€1.00
M30	Shrewsbury · Home18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	W 1-0	3.28	1.15	3	+1.85	−4.73	+€2.28
M31	Burton · Away25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	D 0-0	4.02	0.96	1	+0.04	−4.70	−€1.00
M32	Forest Green · Home4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	W 2-1	2.44	1.46	3	+1.54	−3.15	+€1.44
M33	Ipswich · Away7 Mar 2023	7 Mar 2023	L 0-3	14.93	0.33	0	−0.33	−3.48	−€1.00
M34	Charlton · Away11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	D 1-1	5.00	0.82	1	+0.18	−3.31	−€1.00
M35	Portsmouth · Home14 Mar 2023	14 Mar 2023	L 1-3	3.28	1.16	0	−1.16	−4.47	−€1.00
M36	Milton Keynes Dons · Home18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	L 0-1	2.56	1.40	0	−1.40	−5.86	−€1.00
M37	Plymouth · Home21 Mar 2023	21 Mar 2023	L 0-2	4.96	0.82	0	−0.82	−6.68	−€1.00
M38	Exeter · Away25 Mar 2023	25 Mar 2023	L 0-5	5.05	0.81	0	−0.81	−7.49	−€1.00
M39	Port Vale · Home7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	W 3-0	3.22	1.18	3	+1.82	−5.67	+€2.22
M40	Sheffield Wednesday · Away10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	L 0-3	10.42	0.44	0	−0.44	−6.11	−€1.00
M41	Fleetwood Town · Home15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	L 2-5	2.39	1.48	0	−1.48	−7.59	−€1.00
M42	Peterborough · Home18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	L 1-2	4.50	0.88	0	−0.88	−8.47	−€1.00
M43	Portsmouth · Away22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	L 0-1	4.73	0.85	0	−0.85	−9.32	−€1.00
M44	Bolton · Away25 Apr 2023	25 Apr 2023	W 1-0	5.82	0.72	3	+2.28	−7.05	+€4.82
M45	Cambridge · Home29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	L 1-2	2.77	1.31	0	−1.31	−8.36	−€1.00
M46	Oxford · Away7 May 2023	7 May 2023	W 2-1	7.42	0.59	3	+2.41	−5.94	+€6.42
Total					49.94	44	−5.94		−€8.42