← League One 2022-23

Bolton

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5DWLWW

Points

Points expected by the market

73.12

Gap

+7.88

Yield

+7.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	3	9	6.46	+2.54	+46.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	21	37	38.07	−1.07	−14.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	18	33	24.66	+8.34	+50.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	2	3.93	−1.93	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	3	9	6.46	+2.54	+46.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	15	31	27.81	+3.19	+4.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	4	7	5.74	+1.26	+14.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	1	0	1.05	−1.05	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	6	10.27	−4.27	−63.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	26	18.92	+7.08	+61.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	3	2	2.88	−0.88	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Ipswich · Away30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	D 1-1	4.25	0.95	1	+0.05	+0.05	−€1.00
M2	Wycombe · Home6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	W 3-0	2.35	1.49	3	+1.51	+1.56	+€1.35
M3	Port Vale · Away13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	D 0-0	2.58	1.39	1	−0.39	+1.17	−€1.00
M4	Morecambe · Home16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	W 1-0	1.48	2.13	3	+0.87	+2.04	+€0.48
M5	Sheffield Wednesday · Home20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	L 0-2	2.78	1.30	0	−1.30	+0.74	−€1.00
M6	Plymouth · Away27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	L 0-2	3.09	1.19	0	−1.19	−0.45	−€1.00
M7	Charlton · Home3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	W 3-1	2.21	1.55	3	+1.45	+1.00	+€1.21
M8	Milton Keynes Dons · Away13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	W 2-0	2.57	1.38	3	+1.62	+2.62	+€1.57
M9	Peterborough · Home17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	W 1-0	2.00	1.69	3	+1.31	+3.93	+€1.00
M10	Lincoln · Home1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	W 2-0	1.69	1.92	3	+1.08	+5.01	+€0.69
M11	Cheltenham · Away4 Oct 2022	4 Oct 2022	L 0-1	1.92	1.74	0	−1.74	+3.27	−€1.00
M12	Forest Green · Away8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	L 0-1	1.84	1.79	0	−1.79	+1.47	−€1.00
M13	Barnsley · Home15 Oct 2022	15 Oct 2022	D 0-0	2.16	1.59	1	−0.59	+0.88	−€1.00
M14	Accrington · Away22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	W 3-2	2.21	1.55	3	+1.45	+2.34	+€1.21
M15	Burton · Home25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	W 2-1	1.76	1.86	3	+1.14	+3.48	+€0.76
M16	Oxford · Home29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	L 1-3	1.93	1.73	0	−1.73	+1.75	−€1.00
M17	Cambridge · Away12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	D 0-0	1.90	1.75	1	−0.75	+1.00	−€1.00
M18	Fleetwood Town · Away19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	W 2-1	2.19	1.57	3	+1.43	+2.43	+€1.19
M19	Bristol Rovers · Home2 Dec 2022	2 Dec 2022	D 1-1	1.75	1.86	1	−0.86	+1.57	−€1.00
M20	Shrewsbury · Away10 Dec 2022	10 Dec 2022	L 2-3	2.23	1.56	0	−1.56	+0.01	−€1.00
M21	Exeter · Home17 Dec 2022	17 Dec 2022	W 2-0	1.98	1.69	3	+1.31	+1.32	+€0.98
M22	Derby · Home27 Dec 2022	27 Dec 2022	D 0-0	2.53	1.40	1	−0.40	+0.92	−€1.00
M23	Lincoln · Away30 Dec 2022	30 Dec 2022	D 1-1	2.23	1.56	1	−0.56	+0.36	−€1.00
M24	Barnsley · Away2 Jan 2023	2 Jan 2023	W 3-0	3.45	1.11	3	+1.89	+2.25	+€2.45
M25	Plymouth · Home7 Jan 2023	7 Jan 2023	D 0-0	1.88	1.76	1	−0.76	+1.49	−€1.00
M26	Portsmouth · Home14 Jan 2023	14 Jan 2023	W 3-0	1.80	1.83	3	+1.17	+2.66	+€0.80
M27	Derby · Away21 Jan 2023	21 Jan 2023	L 1-2	3.70	1.04	0	−1.04	+1.62	−€1.00
M28	Forest Green · Home24 Jan 2023	24 Jan 2023	W 1-0	1.43	2.19	3	+0.81	+2.43	+€0.43
M29	Charlton · Away28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	W 2-1	2.73	1.32	3	+1.68	+4.11	+€1.73
M30	Cheltenham · Home4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	W 1-0	1.47	2.14	3	+0.86	+4.97	+€0.47
M31	Peterborough · Away11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	W 5-0	3.43	1.10	3	+1.90	+6.86	+€2.43
M32	Milton Keynes Dons · Home14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	W 5-0	1.62	2.00	3	+1.00	+7.86	+€0.62
M33	Wycombe · Away18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	L 0-1	2.36	1.47	0	−1.47	+6.39	−€1.00
M34	Port Vale · Home25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	W 2-1	1.80	1.84	3	+1.16	+7.55	+€0.80
M35	Portsmouth · Away28 Feb 2023	28 Feb 2023	L 1-3	2.80	1.29	0	−1.29	+6.25	−€1.00
M36	Morecambe · Away4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	D 0-0	1.82	1.81	1	−0.81	+5.44	−€1.00
M37	Ipswich · Home11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	L 0-2	3.63	1.05	0	−1.05	+4.39	−€1.00
M38	Sheffield Wednesday · Away17 Mar 2023	17 Mar 2023	D 1-1	4.59	0.89	1	+0.11	+4.50	−€1.00
M39	Exeter · Away7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	W 1-0	2.63	1.37	3	+1.63	+6.14	+€1.63
M40	Cambridge · Home10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	D 1-1	1.77	1.86	1	−0.86	+5.27	−€1.00
M41	Oxford · Away15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	W 1-0	3.08	1.21	3	+1.79	+7.07	+€2.08
M42	Burton · Away18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	D 1-1	2.13	1.60	1	−0.60	+6.47	−€1.00
M43	Shrewsbury · Home22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	W 1-0	1.50	2.12	3	+0.88	+7.35	+€0.50
M44	Accrington · Home25 Apr 2023	25 Apr 2023	L 0-1	1.57	2.04	0	−2.04	+5.31	−€1.00
M45	Fleetwood Town · Home29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	W 2-0	1.59	2.01	3	+0.99	+6.30	+€0.59
M46	Bristol Rovers · Away7 May 2023	7 May 2023	W 3-2	2.46	1.42	3	+1.58	+7.88	+€1.46
Total					73.12	81	+7.88		+€3.43