← League One 2022-23

Bristol Rovers

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLDLL

Points

Points expected by the market

54.77

Gap

−1.77

Yield

−14.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	11	8.35	+2.65	+21.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	28	32	36.22	−4.22	+4.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	13	10	10.20	−0.20	−68.2%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	4	8	6.76	+1.24	−1.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	14	20.36	−6.36	−27.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	3	3.43	−0.43	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	3	1.59	+1.41	+113.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	13	18	15.86	+2.14	+40.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more	9	7	6.77	+0.23	−54.1%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Forest Green · Home30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	L 1-2	2.41	1.46	0	−1.46	−1.46	−€1.00
M2	Burton · Away6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	W 4-0	3.23	1.15	3	+1.85	+0.39	+€2.23
M3	Oxford · Home13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	W 1-0	3.04	1.20	3	+1.80	+2.19	+€2.04
M4	Barnsley · Away16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	L 0-3	3.33	1.12	0	−1.12	+1.07	−€1.00
M5	Portsmouth · Away20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	L 1-3	5.06	0.80	0	−0.80	+0.28	−€1.00
M6	Shrewsbury · Home27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	D 1-1	2.87	1.28	1	−0.28	−0.01	−€1.00
M7	Morecambe · Home3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	D 2-2	2.03	1.66	1	−0.66	−0.67	−€1.00
M8	Ipswich · Away13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	L 0-2	12.07	0.40	0	−0.40	−1.07	−€1.00
M9	Lincoln · Home17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	L 3-6	2.67	1.34	0	−1.34	−2.41	−€1.00
M10	Accrington · Home24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	L 0-1	2.54	1.38	0	−1.38	−3.80	−€1.00
M11	Exeter · Away1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	D 2-2	5.14	0.78	1	+0.22	−3.58	−€1.00
M12	Cambridge · Home8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	W 2-1	2.19	1.56	3	+1.44	−2.14	+€1.19
M13	Milton Keynes Dons · Away11 Oct 2022	11 Oct 2022	W 1-0	3.45	1.09	3	+1.91	−0.23	+€2.45
M14	Cheltenham · Away15 Oct 2022	15 Oct 2022	W 4-1	2.78	1.30	3	+1.70	+1.47	+€1.78
M15	Plymouth · Home22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	D 2-2	2.84	1.26	1	−0.26	+1.22	−€1.00
M16	Sheffield Wednesday · Away26 Oct 2022	26 Oct 2022	D 1-1	6.29	0.65	1	+0.35	+1.57	−€1.00
M17	Derby · Away29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	L 2-4	4.41	0.89	0	−0.89	+0.68	−€1.00
M18	Fleetwood Town · Home12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	D 2-2	1.99	1.69	1	−0.69	−0.01	−€1.00
M19	Peterborough · Home19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	W 1-0	2.83	1.26	3	+1.74	+1.74	+€1.83
M20	Bolton · Away2 Dec 2022	2 Dec 2022	D 1-1	4.41	0.89	1	+0.11	+1.85	−€1.00
M21	Port Vale · Home10 Dec 2022	10 Dec 2022	W 1-0	2.58	1.38	3	+1.62	+3.47	+€1.58
M22	Charlton · Away17 Dec 2022	17 Dec 2022	W 2-1	3.23	1.14	3	+1.86	+5.33	+€2.23
M23	Wycombe · Away26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	L 1-2	3.47	1.08	0	−1.08	+4.25	−€1.00
M24	Exeter · Home29 Dec 2022	29 Dec 2022	L 3-4	2.24	1.53	0	−1.53	+2.72	−€1.00
M25	Cheltenham · Home1 Jan 2023	1 Jan 2023	W 2-1	1.77	1.85	3	+1.15	+3.87	+€0.77
M26	Cambridge · Away7 Jan 2023	7 Jan 2023	W 2-1	2.13	1.59	3	+1.41	+5.27	+€1.13
M27	Accrington · Away14 Jan 2023	14 Jan 2023	L 0-2	2.50	1.39	0	−1.39	+3.88	−€1.00
M28	Morecambe · Away28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	L 1-5	2.52	1.40	0	−1.40	+2.49	−€1.00
M29	Milton Keynes Dons · Home4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	L 0-2	2.37	1.47	0	−1.47	+1.02	−€1.00
M30	Lincoln · Away11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	L 0-1	3.32	1.13	0	−1.13	−0.11	−€1.00
M31	Ipswich · Home14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	D 0-0	6.19	0.68	1	+0.32	+0.20	−€1.00
M32	Burton · Home18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	L 1-2	2.24	1.53	0	−1.53	−1.33	−€1.00
M33	Oxford · Away25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	W 3-0	4.13	0.93	3	+2.07	+0.74	+€3.13
M34	Barnsley · Home4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	D 0-0	3.88	0.99	1	+0.01	+0.74	−€1.00
M35	Forest Green · Away11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	W 3-1	2.54	1.40	3	+1.60	+2.34	+€1.54
M36	Wycombe · Home14 Mar 2023	14 Mar 2023	L 0-2	2.77	1.29	0	−1.29	+1.05	−€1.00
M37	Portsmouth · Home18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	L 0-2	2.93	1.24	0	−1.24	−0.19	−€1.00
M38	Charlton · Home7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	W 1-0	2.46	1.43	3	+1.57	+1.38	+€1.46
M39	Fleetwood Town · Away10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	W 2-1	3.09	1.21	3	+1.79	+3.18	+€2.09
M40	Derby · Home15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	D 1-1	4.37	0.91	1	+0.09	+3.27	−€1.00
M41	Sheffield Wednesday · Home18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	L 1-2	4.76	0.84	0	−0.84	+2.43	−€1.00
M42	Port Vale · Away22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	L 0-2	3.22	1.16	0	−1.16	+1.27	−€1.00
M43	Plymouth · Away25 Apr 2023	25 Apr 2023	L 0-2	5.04	0.80	0	−0.80	+0.48	−€1.00
M44	Peterborough · Away29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	D 0-0	6.54	0.64	1	+0.36	+0.84	−€1.00
M45	Shrewsbury · Away2 May 2023	2 May 2023	L 1-2	2.81	1.30	0	−1.30	−0.46	−€1.00
M46	Bolton · Home7 May 2023	7 May 2023	L 2-3	2.71	1.31	0	−1.31	−1.77	−€1.00
Total					54.77	53	−1.77		−€6.55