Points
46Points expected by the market
52.29Gap
−6.29Yield
−18.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.72 | +36.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.40 | +5.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 22 | −3.90 | −1.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 14 | −3.51 | −41.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.72 | +36.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.02 | +41.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 16 | −2.06 | +2.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +0.48 | −26.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.61 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −1.84 | −12.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 9 | −4.00 | −45.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home30 Jul 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.78 |
| M2 | Oxford · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | +0.93 |
| M3 | Exeter · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +2.74 |
| M4 | Portsmouth · Away16 Aug 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.75 | +1.98 |
| M5 | Charlton · Away20 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | +2.08 |
| M6 | Burton · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.47 | +3.55 |
| M7 | Lincoln · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +4.90 |
| M8 | Cheltenham · Away13 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +3.51 |
| M9 | Barnsley · Home17 Sep 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.27 | +2.24 |
| M10 | Morecambe · Away24 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +3.90 |
| M11 | Derby · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +2.87 |
| M12 | Ipswich · Away4 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.50 | +2.38 |
| M13 | Bristol Rovers · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.21 |
| M14 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | +0.36 |
| M15 | Port Vale · Home22 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.85 |
| M16 | Wycombe · Away25 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.13 | +1.28 |
| M17 | Peterborough · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.66 | +0.61 |
| M18 | Bolton · Home12 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.63 |
| M19 | Accrington · Home19 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −0.88 |
| M20 | Forest Green · Away3 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −2.14 |
| M21 | Plymouth · Home10 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −2.30 |
| M22 | Shrewsbury · Home26 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −0.62 |
| M23 | Derby · Away30 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.50 | −1.11 |
| M24 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away2 Jan 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.43 | −1.54 |
| M25 | Bristol Rovers · Home7 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −2.68 |
| M26 | Shrewsbury · Away21 Jan 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.92 | −3.60 |
| M27 | Lincoln · Away28 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.06 | −3.66 |
| M28 | Ipswich · Home4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.39 | −3.27 |
| M29 | Barnsley · Away11 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −3.96 |
| M30 | Cheltenham · Home14 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −5.40 |
| M31 | Oxford · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −3.57 |
| M32 | Fleetwood Town · Away21 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −4.67 |
| M33 | Exeter · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −5.72 |
| M34 | Portsmouth · Home4 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −6.82 |
| M35 | Morecambe · Home7 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −7.55 |
| M36 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −8.84 |
| M37 | Charlton · Home18 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −10.23 |
| M38 | Port Vale · Away1 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.01 | −8.22 |
| M39 | Fleetwood Town · Home7 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −6.81 |
| M40 | Bolton · Away10 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −6.68 |
| M41 | Peterborough · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.95 | −4.73 |
| M42 | Wycombe · Home18 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −6.15 |
| M43 | Plymouth · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −6.99 |
| M44 | Accrington · Away29 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −5.39 |
| M45 | Burton · Away3 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | −7.01 |
| M46 | Forest Green · Home7 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.72 | −6.29 |
| Total | 46 | −6.29 | |||