← League One 2022-23

Charlton

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5LWLWD

Points

Points expected by the market

63.88

Gap

−1.88

Yield

−13.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	12	15	21.67	−6.67	−34.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	25	42	34.40	+7.60	+12.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	9	5	7.81	−2.81	−56.9%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	12	15	21.67	−6.67	−34.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	18	12.59	+5.41	+39.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	1	2.04	−1.04	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	16	24	21.81	+2.19	−2.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	7	4	5.77	−1.77	−44.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Accrington · Away30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	D 2-2	2.41	1.44	1	−0.44	−0.44	−€1.00
M2	Derby · Home6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	W 1-0	2.90	1.27	3	+1.73	+1.29	+€1.90
M3	Sheffield Wednesday · Away13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	L 0-1	4.70	0.86	0	−0.86	+0.42	−€1.00
M4	Plymouth · Home16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	W 5-1	2.30	1.51	3	+1.49	+1.92	+€1.30
M5	Cambridge · Home20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	D 1-1	1.78	1.84	1	−0.84	+1.07	−€1.00
M6	Wycombe · Away27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	D 1-1	2.95	1.25	1	−0.25	+0.83	−€1.00
M7	Bolton · Away3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	L 1-3	3.14	1.17	0	−1.17	−0.34	−€1.00
M8	Forest Green · Home13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	D 1-1	1.72	1.88	1	−0.88	−1.23	−€1.00
M9	Fleetwood Town · Away17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	D 1-1	2.35	1.48	1	−0.48	−1.71	−€1.00
M10	Barnsley · Away24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	L 1-3	2.81	1.28	0	−1.28	−3.00	−€1.00
M11	Oxford · Home1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	D 1-1	2.28	1.51	1	−0.51	−3.50	−€1.00
M12	Lincoln · Away8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	D 0-0	2.20	1.56	1	−0.56	−4.06	−€1.00
M13	Exeter · Home11 Oct 2022	11 Oct 2022	W 4-2	2.15	1.59	3	+1.41	−2.65	+€1.15
M14	Portsmouth · Home17 Oct 2022	17 Oct 2022	W 3-0	2.71	1.33	3	+1.67	−0.98	+€1.71
M15	Shrewsbury · Away22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	W 1-0	2.39	1.47	3	+1.53	+0.55	+€1.39
M16	Milton Keynes Dons · Home25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	L 0-2	1.71	1.90	0	−1.90	−1.36	−€1.00
M17	Ipswich · Home29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	D 4-4	3.73	1.03	1	−0.03	−1.39	−€1.00
M18	Burton · Away12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	D 3-3	2.45	1.42	1	−0.42	−1.81	−€1.00
M19	Port Vale · Away19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	L 0-1	2.96	1.23	0	−1.23	−3.05	−€1.00
M20	Cheltenham · Home2 Dec 2022	2 Dec 2022	L 0-1	1.66	1.94	0	−1.94	−4.99	−€1.00
M21	Bristol Rovers · Home17 Dec 2022	17 Dec 2022	L 1-2	2.14	1.59	0	−1.59	−6.58	−€1.00
M22	Peterborough · Home26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	D 1-1	2.94	1.23	1	−0.23	−6.81	−€1.00
M23	Oxford · Away29 Dec 2022	29 Dec 2022	L 1-3	4.20	0.93	0	−0.93	−7.74	−€1.00
M24	Portsmouth · Away1 Jan 2023	1 Jan 2023	W 3-1	3.88	0.99	3	+2.01	−5.72	+€2.88
M25	Lincoln · Home7 Jan 2023	7 Jan 2023	W 2-1	1.75	1.87	3	+1.13	−4.60	+€0.75
M26	Barnsley · Home14 Jan 2023	14 Jan 2023	W 2-0	2.41	1.45	3	+1.55	−3.04	+€1.41
M27	Bolton · Home28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	L 1-2	2.56	1.39	0	−1.39	−4.43	−€1.00
M28	Exeter · Away4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	W 2-1	2.78	1.30	3	+1.70	−2.73	+€1.78
M29	Fleetwood Town · Home11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	L 1-2	1.78	1.84	0	−1.84	−4.57	−€1.00
M30	Forest Green · Away14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	W 1-0	2.38	1.48	3	+1.52	−3.05	+€1.38
M31	Derby · Away18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	L 0-2	5.75	0.72	0	−0.72	−3.77	−€1.00
M32	Sheffield Wednesday · Home25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	L 0-1	3.84	1.01	0	−1.01	−4.78	−€1.00
M33	Peterborough · Away28 Feb 2023	28 Feb 2023	D 0-0	4.57	0.87	1	+0.13	−4.65	−€1.00
M34	Plymouth · Away4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	L 0-2	3.88	0.98	0	−0.98	−5.62	−€1.00
M35	Accrington · Home11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	D 1-1	1.70	1.92	1	−0.92	−6.54	−€1.00
M36	Morecambe · Away14 Mar 2023	14 Mar 2023	W 4-1	2.31	1.51	3	+1.49	−5.05	+€1.31
M37	Cambridge · Away18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	W 2-1	2.75	1.31	3	+1.69	−3.36	+€1.75
M38	Wycombe · Home25 Mar 2023	25 Mar 2023	D 1-1	2.64	1.35	1	−0.35	−3.72	−€1.00
M39	Shrewsbury · Home1 Apr 2023	1 Apr 2023	W 6-0	2.24	1.56	3	+1.44	−2.27	+€1.24
M40	Bristol Rovers · Away7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	L 0-1	2.79	1.29	0	−1.29	−3.57	−€1.00
M41	Burton · Home10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	W 3-2	1.90	1.75	3	+1.25	−2.32	+€0.90
M42	Ipswich · Away15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	L 0-6	10.83	0.42	0	−0.42	−2.74	−€1.00
M43	Milton Keynes Dons · Away18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	W 1-0	3.00	1.23	3	+1.77	−0.97	+€2.00
M44	Morecambe · Home22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	L 2-3	1.68	1.92	0	−1.92	−2.89	−€1.00
M45	Port Vale · Home29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	W 3-2	2.11	1.62	3	+1.38	−1.51	+€1.11
M46	Cheltenham · Away7 May 2023	7 May 2023	D 2-2	2.57	1.37	1	−0.37	−1.88	−€1.00
Total					63.88	62	−1.88		−€6.04