Points
54Points expected by the market
49.56Gap
+4.44Yield
+6.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.40 | −7.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 27 | −0.18 | −9.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 23 | +4.22 | +22.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.40 | −7.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 23 | +3.05 | +6.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | −0.29 | −33.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −3.22 | −49.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 18 | +4.51 | +42.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Peterborough · Home30 Jul 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.19 |
| M2 | Barnsley · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −2.12 |
| M3 | Portsmouth · Home13 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −3.18 |
| M4 | Fleetwood Town · Away16 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −3.22 |
| M5 | Exeter · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.25 | −0.97 |
| M6 | Oxford · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.04 |
| M7 | Port Vale · Away3 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | −1.98 |
| M8 | Cambridge · Home13 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −0.31 |
| M9 | Accrington · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.33 |
| M10 | Shrewsbury · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.25 |
| M11 | Bolton · Home4 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +2.27 |
| M12 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.56 | +1.71 |
| M13 | Bristol Rovers · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.42 | +0.29 |
| M14 | Burton · Away22 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −0.80 |
| M15 | Morecambe · Home25 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +0.64 |
| M16 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home29 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | +0.26 |
| M17 | Ipswich · Away12 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.60 | +0.86 |
| M18 | Wycombe · Home19 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +2.77 |
| M19 | Charlton · Away2 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.19 | +4.96 |
| M20 | Forest Green · Away10 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | +3.68 |
| M21 | Plymouth · Home26 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | +2.58 |
| M22 | Shrewsbury · Away29 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +4.59 |
| M23 | Bristol Rovers · Away1 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +3.70 |
| M24 | Morecambe · Away7 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +2.42 |
| M25 | Derby · Home14 Jan 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.85 | +1.57 |
| M26 | Plymouth · Away21 Jan 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.72 | +0.85 |
| M27 | Port Vale · Home28 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | +0.50 |
| M28 | Bolton · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.64 | −0.13 |
| M29 | Accrington · Home11 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.79 | −0.92 |
| M30 | Cambridge · Away14 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +0.83 |
| M31 | Barnsley · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.11 | −0.28 |
| M32 | Portsmouth · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.88 | −1.16 |
| M33 | Derby · Away28 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.54 | −1.70 |
| M34 | Fleetwood Town · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −0.13 |
| M35 | Lincoln · Home7 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.48 |
| M36 | Peterborough · Away11 Mar 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.27 | +1.79 |
| M37 | Exeter · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +3.43 |
| M38 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home29 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.22 | +3.65 |
| M39 | Burton · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | +3.14 |
| M40 | Lincoln · Away7 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +1.97 |
| M41 | Ipswich · Home10 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.45 | +2.41 |
| M42 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away15 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | +2.27 |
| M43 | Forest Green · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +3.46 |
| M44 | Oxford · Away25 Apr 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.69 | +2.77 |
| M45 | Wycombe · Away29 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.03 | +4.81 |
| M46 | Charlton · Home7 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | +4.44 |
| Total | 54 | +4.44 | |||