Points
56Points expected by the market
61.94Gap
−5.94Yield
−20.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 30 | +5.45 | +30.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 24 | −5.95 | −20.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 2 | −5.43 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 26 | +4.67 | +34.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.94 | −25.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.84 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.78 | +3.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 16 | −3.01 | −18.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 1 | −3.59 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lincoln · Away30 Jul 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.29 |
| M2 | Port Vale · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.10 |
| M3 | Cambridge · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −0.43 |
| M4 | Wycombe · Home16 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +0.94 |
| M5 | Cheltenham · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.01 | −1.06 |
| M6 | Accrington · Away27 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −1.48 |
| M7 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −0.13 |
| M8 | Shrewsbury · Away13 Sep 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −1.55 |
| M9 | Burton · Home17 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.91 | −3.46 |
| M10 | Forest Green · Away24 Sep 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −2.10 |
| M11 | Bristol Rovers · Home1 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.98 | −3.08 |
| M12 | Barnsley · Away8 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −1.22 |
| M13 | Charlton · Away11 Oct 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.36 |
| M14 | Oxford · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.40 | −3.76 |
| M15 | Fleetwood Town · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | −2.48 |
| M16 | Derby · Away25 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −2.63 |
| M17 | Plymouth · Away31 Oct 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.02 | −3.66 |
| M18 | Peterborough · Home12 Nov 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.65 | −2.00 |
| M19 | Ipswich · Home19 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −2.89 |
| M20 | Morecambe · Away2 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −3.47 |
| M21 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home10 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −3.46 |
| M22 | Bolton · Away17 Dec 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −4.50 |
| M23 | Portsmouth · Home26 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −4.87 |
| M24 | Bristol Rovers · Away29 Dec 2022 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.81 | −3.06 |
| M25 | Oxford · Away1 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −1.24 |
| M26 | Forest Green · Home14 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.93 | −2.17 |
| M27 | Portsmouth · Away21 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −3.29 |
| M28 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away28 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −1.60 |
| M29 | Charlton · Home4 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −3.02 |
| M30 | Burton · Away11 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −4.31 |
| M31 | Shrewsbury · Home14 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −4.83 |
| M32 | Port Vale · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −5.97 |
| M33 | Cambridge · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −4.62 |
| M34 | Wycombe · Away4 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −4.63 |
| M35 | Lincoln · Home11 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | −3.29 |
| M36 | Cheltenham · Away18 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −4.62 |
| M37 | Accrington · Home25 Mar 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.06 | −3.56 |
| M38 | Barnsley · Home28 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −1.70 |
| M39 | Fleetwood Town · Away1 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | −2.06 |
| M40 | Bolton · Home7 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −3.40 |
| M41 | Peterborough · Away10 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −4.15 |
| M42 | Plymouth · Home15 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | −5.56 |
| M43 | Derby · Home18 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −6.53 |
| M44 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.51 | −7.05 |
| M45 | Ipswich · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.26 | −7.31 |
| M46 | Morecambe · Home7 May 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.37 | −5.94 |
| Total | 56 | −5.94 | |||