Points
58Points expected by the market
53.09Gap
+4.91Yield
+2.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +1.03 | +4.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 28 | −0.23 | −7.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 19 | +4.11 | +12.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +1.03 | +4.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 13 | −4.20 | −42.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 5 | +1.61 | −9.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +3.97 | +43.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 14 | +2.50 | +19.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Port Vale · Away30 Jul 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −0.98 |
| M2 | Plymouth · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +0.79 |
| M3 | Morecambe · Away13 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +0.41 |
| M4 | Cheltenham · Home16 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | −0.29 |
| M5 | Derby · Home20 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | −0.21 |
| M6 | Lincoln · Away27 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.31 |
| M7 | Wycombe · Home3 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.47 |
| M8 | Peterborough · Away13 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.18 | +1.71 |
| M9 | Charlton · Home17 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +1.48 |
| M10 | Barnsley · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | +0.27 |
| M11 | Burton · Away4 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +2.09 |
| M12 | Portsmouth · Away8 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | +2.30 |
| M13 | Shrewsbury · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +0.77 |
| M14 | Exeter · Away22 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −0.23 |
| M15 | Forest Green · Home25 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −0.92 |
| M16 | Accrington · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.53 |
| M17 | Oxford · Away1 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.54 |
| M18 | Bristol Rovers · Away12 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.51 |
| M19 | Bolton · Home19 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.65 |
| M20 | Ipswich · Away2 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.60 | −0.05 |
| M21 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away10 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | +1.86 |
| M22 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home26 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | +0.99 |
| M23 | Barnsley · Away29 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | +0.21 |
| M24 | Shrewsbury · Away1 Jan 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +2.05 |
| M25 | Oxford · Home14 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +0.82 |
| M26 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away21 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | +0.17 |
| M27 | Portsmouth · Home24 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.09 |
| M28 | Burton · Home4 Feb 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.62 | −2.70 |
| M29 | Charlton · Away11 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.09 | −0.61 |
| M30 | Peterborough · Home14 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +1.33 |
| M31 | Plymouth · Away18 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | +1.50 |
| M32 | Cambridge · Home21 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +2.88 |
| M33 | Morecambe · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +4.13 |
| M34 | Cheltenham · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +2.88 |
| M35 | Wycombe · Away7 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +1.91 |
| M36 | Port Vale · Home11 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +1.60 |
| M37 | Derby · Away18 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.41 | +4.01 |
| M38 | Lincoln · Home25 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +5.42 |
| M39 | Exeter · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | +5.09 |
| M40 | Cambridge · Away7 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +3.98 |
| M41 | Bristol Rovers · Home10 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | +2.47 |
| M42 | Accrington · Away15 Apr 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.78 | +4.25 |
| M43 | Forest Green · Away18 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +3.71 |
| M44 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +5.21 |
| M45 | Bolton · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.76 | +4.45 |
| M46 | Ipswich · Home7 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.46 | +4.91 |
| Total | 58 | +4.91 | |||