Points
62Points expected by the market
54.02Gap
+7.98Yield
+13.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 12 | +0.43 | −14.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 25 | −0.06 | −30.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 25 | +7.61 | +64.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 12 | +0.43 | −14.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 17 | +0.95 | −36.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.47 | −7.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −1.01 | −20.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 19 | +5.14 | +82.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Exeter · Home30 Jul 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.42 |
| M2 | Portsmouth · Away6 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | −0.32 |
| M3 | Forest Green · Home13 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.86 |
| M4 | Oxford · Away16 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | +1.18 |
| M5 | Peterborough · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.00 | +0.18 |
| M6 | Fleetwood Town · Home27 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | −0.44 |
| M7 | Cambridge · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.51 |
| M8 | Derby · Home13 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +0.45 |
| M9 | Bristol Rovers · Away17 Sep 2022 | W 6-3 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.07 |
| M10 | Bolton · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.82 | +1.25 |
| M11 | Charlton · Home8 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | +1.08 |
| M12 | Ipswich · Away15 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.50 | +3.58 |
| M13 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home22 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | +3.73 |
| M14 | Barnsley · Away25 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +5.78 |
| M15 | Port Vale · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | +4.80 |
| M16 | Accrington · Home1 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +4.35 |
| M17 | Plymouth · Home12 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +4.02 |
| M18 | Morecambe · Home19 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +5.21 |
| M19 | Shrewsbury · Away3 Dec 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +4.03 |
| M20 | Wycombe · Home10 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +3.80 |
| M21 | Burton · Away26 Dec 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | +2.59 |
| M22 | Bolton · Home30 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +2.44 |
| M23 | Ipswich · Home2 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | +2.65 |
| M24 | Charlton · Away7 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | +1.78 |
| M25 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away14 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +1.70 |
| M26 | Cambridge · Home28 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | +1.05 |
| M27 | Accrington · Away4 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +2.79 |
| M28 | Bristol Rovers · Home11 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +4.20 |
| M29 | Derby · Away14 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.39 | +4.60 |
| M30 | Portsmouth · Home18 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | +4.27 |
| M31 | Forest Green · Away25 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +3.89 |
| M32 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home28 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +3.29 |
| M33 | Oxford · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +4.92 |
| M34 | Cheltenham · Away7 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | +4.58 |
| M35 | Exeter · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +3.54 |
| M36 | Peterborough · Home18 Mar 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | +2.38 |
| M37 | Fleetwood Town · Away25 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +1.27 |
| M38 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away1 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.47 | +1.74 |
| M39 | Cheltenham · Home7 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +3.23 |
| M40 | Plymouth · Away10 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.35 | +5.57 |
| M41 | Port Vale · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.61 | +7.18 |
| M42 | Barnsley · Home18 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | +7.34 |
| M43 | Wycombe · Away22 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.22 | +9.56 |
| M44 | Burton · Home25 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | +7.96 |
| M45 | Morecambe · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.28 | +6.69 |
| M46 | Shrewsbury · Home7 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +7.98 |
| Total | 62 | +7.98 | |||