← League One 2022-23

Milton Keynes Dons

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5DLLDD

Points

Points expected by the market

57.13

Gap

−12.13

Yield

−31.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	7	11	11.80	−0.80	−17.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	24	22	32.28	−10.28	−45.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	15	12	13.05	−1.05	−15.1%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	7	11	11.80	−0.80	−17.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	8	20.05	−12.05	−83.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	1	0	0.63	−0.63	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	14	12.23	+1.77	+17.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	14	12	12.42	−0.42	−9.1%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Cambridge · Away30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	L 0-1	2.38	1.48	0	−1.48	−1.48	−€1.00
M2	Sheffield Wednesday · Home6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	L 0-1	3.06	1.21	0	−1.21	−2.70	−€1.00
M3	Ipswich · Away13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	L 0-3	5.72	0.74	0	−0.74	−3.44	−€1.00
M4	Port Vale · Home16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	W 2-1	2.17	1.60	3	+1.40	−2.04	+€1.17
M5	Accrington · Home20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	D 1-1	2.07	1.65	1	−0.65	−2.69	−€1.00
M6	Morecambe · Away27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	W 4-0	2.24	1.56	3	+1.44	−1.25	+€1.24
M7	Exeter · Away3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	L 0-1	3.62	1.07	0	−1.07	−2.31	−€1.00
M8	Bolton · Home13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	L 0-2	2.67	1.34	0	−1.34	−3.65	−€1.00
M9	Oxford · Away17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	W 2-1	3.77	1.03	3	+1.97	−1.68	+€2.77
M10	Peterborough · Home1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	L 2-3	3.07	1.20	0	−1.20	−2.88	−€1.00
M11	Shrewsbury · Away8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	L 1-2	3.13	1.20	0	−1.20	−4.08	−€1.00
M12	Bristol Rovers · Home11 Oct 2022	11 Oct 2022	L 0-1	2.07	1.64	0	−1.64	−5.72	−€1.00
M13	Plymouth · Home15 Oct 2022	15 Oct 2022	L 1-4	2.76	1.31	0	−1.31	−7.03	−€1.00
M14	Wycombe · Home22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	L 0-1	3.05	1.21	0	−1.21	−8.24	−€1.00
M15	Charlton · Away25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	W 2-0	4.80	0.84	3	+2.16	−6.08	+€3.80
M16	Cheltenham · Away29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	D 0-0	2.81	1.31	1	−0.31	−6.39	−€1.00
M17	Derby · Home12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	L 1-3	3.16	1.18	0	−1.18	−7.58	−€1.00
M18	Barnsley · Away19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	L 1-3	4.20	0.94	0	−0.94	−8.52	−€1.00
M19	Burton · Home3 Dec 2022	3 Dec 2022	D 1-1	2.36	1.47	1	−0.47	−8.99	−€1.00
M20	Fleetwood Town · Home10 Dec 2022	10 Dec 2022	L 1-2	2.11	1.62	0	−1.62	−10.61	−€1.00
M21	Portsmouth · Away17 Dec 2022	17 Dec 2022	W 2-0	4.16	0.94	3	+2.06	−8.55	+€3.16
M22	Forest Green · Home26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	W 1-0	1.84	1.80	3	+1.20	−7.35	+€0.84
M23	Peterborough · Away29 Dec 2022	29 Dec 2022	L 0-2	4.47	0.88	0	−0.88	−8.23	−€1.00
M24	Plymouth · Away1 Jan 2023	1 Jan 2023	L 1-3	4.89	0.82	0	−0.82	−9.05	−€1.00
M25	Lincoln · Home14 Jan 2023	14 Jan 2023	D 0-0	2.13	1.62	1	−0.62	−9.67	−€1.00
M26	Forest Green · Away21 Jan 2023	21 Jan 2023	W 2-1	2.60	1.37	3	+1.63	−8.04	+€1.60
M27	Shrewsbury · Home24 Jan 2023	24 Jan 2023	L 0-1	2.55	1.42	0	−1.42	−9.46	−€1.00
M28	Exeter · Home28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	L 0-2	2.59	1.39	0	−1.39	−10.85	−€1.00
M29	Bristol Rovers · Away4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	W 2-0	2.91	1.25	3	+1.75	−9.10	+€1.91
M30	Oxford · Home11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	D 1-1	2.61	1.37	1	−0.37	−9.47	−€1.00
M31	Bolton · Away14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	L 0-5	5.82	0.74	0	−0.74	−10.21	−€1.00
M32	Sheffield Wednesday · Away18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	L 2-5	6.76	0.65	0	−0.65	−10.86	−€1.00
M33	Ipswich · Home25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	L 0-1	7.08	0.63	0	−0.63	−11.49	−€1.00
M34	Lincoln · Away28 Feb 2023	28 Feb 2023	D 1-1	3.52	1.10	1	−0.10	−11.59	−€1.00
M35	Port Vale · Away4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	L 0-1	4.11	0.98	0	−0.98	−12.57	−€1.00
M36	Cambridge · Home11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	W 1-0	2.52	1.42	3	+1.58	−10.98	+€1.52
M37	Accrington · Away18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	W 1-0	2.79	1.31	3	+1.69	−9.29	+€1.79
M38	Morecambe · Home25 Mar 2023	25 Mar 2023	W 1-0	1.77	1.87	3	+1.13	−8.16	+€0.77
M39	Wycombe · Away1 Apr 2023	1 Apr 2023	D 2-2	3.92	1.00	1	0.00	−8.16	−€1.00
M40	Portsmouth · Home7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	D 1-1	2.92	1.27	1	−0.27	−8.42	−€1.00
M41	Derby · Away10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	D 1-1	6.18	0.69	1	+0.31	−8.12	−€1.00
M42	Cheltenham · Home15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	D 2-2	2.26	1.55	1	−0.55	−8.67	−€1.00
M43	Charlton · Home18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	L 0-1	2.39	1.47	0	−1.47	−10.14	−€1.00
M44	Fleetwood Town · Away22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	L 0-1	3.07	1.21	0	−1.21	−11.35	−€1.00
M45	Barnsley · Home29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	D 4-4	2.97	1.24	1	−0.24	−11.59	−€1.00
M46	Burton · Away7 May 2023	7 May 2023	D 0-0	2.22	1.54	1	−0.54	−12.13	−€1.00
Total					57.13	45	−12.13		−€14.43