← League One 2022-23

Morecambe

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5DWWWL

Points

Points expected by the market

42.95

Gap

+1.05

Yield

−24.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	22	18.71	+3.29	+14.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more	31	22	24.24	−2.24	−43.7%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	13	22	16.45	+5.55	+31.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more	10	10	8.30	+1.70	−13.5%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	2	0	2.26	−2.26	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	21	12	15.95	−3.95	−58.1%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Shrewsbury · Home30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	D 0-0	3.18	1.18	1	−0.18	−0.18	−€1.00
M2	Peterborough · Away6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	L 0-3	5.67	0.73	0	−0.73	−0.91	−€1.00
M3	Fleetwood Town · Home13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	D 1-1	2.74	1.33	1	−0.33	−1.24	−€1.00
M4	Bolton · Away16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	L 0-1	6.43	0.66	0	−0.66	−1.89	−€1.00
M5	Oxford · Away20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	D 1-1	5.63	0.73	1	+0.27	−1.62	−€1.00
M6	Milton Keynes Dons · Home27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	L 0-4	3.32	1.15	0	−1.15	−2.77	−€1.00
M7	Bristol Rovers · Away3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	D 2-2	3.54	1.07	1	−0.07	−2.84	−€1.00
M8	Sheffield Wednesday · Home13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	L 0-3	5.82	0.72	0	−0.72	−3.56	−€1.00
M9	Forest Green · Away17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	W 2-1	4.08	0.96	3	+2.04	−1.51	+€3.08
M10	Cambridge · Home24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	L 1-2	2.61	1.38	0	−1.38	−2.89	−€1.00
M11	Accrington · Away1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	L 1-3	4.26	0.92	0	−0.92	−3.81	−€1.00
M12	Ipswich · Home8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	L 1-2	8.72	0.53	0	−0.53	−4.34	−€1.00
M13	Burton · Away15 Oct 2022	15 Oct 2022	D 1-1	4.30	0.91	1	+0.09	−4.25	−€1.00
M14	Barnsley · Home22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	W 1-0	4.51	0.88	3	+2.12	−2.14	+€3.51
M15	Cheltenham · Away25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	L 0-1	3.31	1.14	0	−1.14	−3.28	−€1.00
M16	Wycombe · Away29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	D 1-1	5.95	0.69	1	+0.31	−2.97	−€1.00
M17	Derby · Home1 Nov 2022	1 Nov 2022	D 1-1	5.40	0.76	1	+0.24	−2.73	−€1.00
M18	Portsmouth · Home12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	D 1-1	5.09	0.80	1	+0.20	−2.53	−€1.00
M19	Lincoln · Away19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	L 1-2	4.25	0.93	0	−0.93	−3.46	−€1.00
M20	Exeter · Home2 Dec 2022	2 Dec 2022	D 1-1	3.31	1.13	1	−0.13	−3.59	−€1.00
M21	Plymouth · Away17 Dec 2022	17 Dec 2022	L 1-2	5.85	0.70	0	−0.70	−4.29	−€1.00
M22	Port Vale · Away26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	L 0-1	6.06	0.72	0	−0.72	−5.01	−€1.00
M23	Accrington · Home29 Dec 2022	29 Dec 2022	W 2-0	2.89	1.27	3	+1.73	−3.27	+€1.89
M24	Burton · Home1 Jan 2023	1 Jan 2023	W 5-0	3.17	1.16	3	+1.84	−1.43	+€2.17
M25	Cheltenham · Home7 Jan 2023	7 Jan 2023	W 2-1	2.50	1.42	3	+1.58	+0.14	+€1.50
M26	Ipswich · Away24 Jan 2023	24 Jan 2023	L 0-4	13.22	0.36	0	−0.36	−0.22	−€1.00
M27	Bristol Rovers · Home28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	W 5-1	2.70	1.32	3	+1.68	+1.46	+€1.70
M28	Derby · Away4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	L 0-5	9.33	0.49	0	−0.49	+0.97	−€1.00
M29	Forest Green · Home11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	D 1-1	2.67	1.36	1	−0.36	+0.62	−€1.00
M30	Sheffield Wednesday · Away14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	L 0-3	9.58	0.48	0	−0.48	+0.14	−€1.00
M31	Peterborough · Home18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	L 0-3	4.85	0.83	0	−0.83	−0.69	−€1.00
M32	Port Vale · Home21 Feb 2023	21 Feb 2023	W 1-0	3.43	1.12	3	+1.88	+1.19	+€2.43
M33	Fleetwood Town · Away25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	L 0-1	4.14	0.96	0	−0.96	+0.23	−€1.00
M34	Bolton · Home4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	D 0-0	4.25	0.93	1	+0.07	+0.30	−€1.00
M35	Cambridge · Away7 Mar 2023	7 Mar 2023	D 1-1	4.10	0.98	1	+0.02	+0.33	−€1.00
M36	Shrewsbury · Away11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	L 1-3	5.05	0.84	0	−0.84	−0.51	−€1.00
M37	Charlton · Home14 Mar 2023	14 Mar 2023	L 1-4	3.07	1.21	0	−1.21	−1.72	−€1.00
M38	Oxford · Home18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	D 1-1	3.70	1.03	1	−0.03	−1.75	−€1.00
M39	Milton Keynes Dons · Away25 Mar 2023	25 Mar 2023	L 0-1	4.82	0.86	0	−0.86	−2.61	−€1.00
M40	Barnsley · Away1 Apr 2023	1 Apr 2023	L 0-5	8.13	0.55	0	−0.55	−3.16	−€1.00
M41	Plymouth · Home7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	L 1-3	4.56	0.87	0	−0.87	−4.03	−€1.00
M42	Portsmouth · Away10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	D 0-0	7.42	0.59	1	+0.41	−3.61	−€1.00
M43	Wycombe · Home15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	W 1-0	4.14	0.95	3	+2.05	−1.56	+€3.14
M44	Charlton · Away22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	W 3-2	4.72	0.84	3	+2.16	+0.60	+€3.72
M45	Lincoln · Home29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	W 3-2	2.46	1.43	3	+1.57	+2.16	+€1.46
M46	Exeter · Away7 May 2023	7 May 2023	L 2-3	3.30	1.11	0	−1.11	+1.05	−€1.00
Total					42.95	44	+1.05		−€11.40