Points
77Points expected by the market
73.79Gap
+3.21Yield
+6.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.57 | −2.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 42 | +2.03 | +7.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 28 | +4.30 | +30.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −3.69 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.57 | −2.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 30 | +0.52 | +1.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.84 | +82.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.01 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 12 | +1.51 | +24.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 22 | +2.47 | +19.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.68 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cheltenham · Away30 Jul 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.46 | +1.46 |
| M2 | Morecambe · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +2.42 |
| M3 | Plymouth · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +1.15 |
| M4 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home16 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +2.87 |
| M5 | Lincoln · Home20 Aug 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +4.12 |
| M6 | Derby · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +3.03 |
| M7 | Portsmouth · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +1.95 |
| M8 | Fleetwood Town · Home13 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.95 | +0.01 |
| M9 | Bolton · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.04 |
| M10 | Port Vale · Home24 Sep 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +0.38 |
| M11 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.47 | +1.85 |
| M12 | Burton · Home8 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | +0.87 |
| M13 | Forest Green · Home11 Oct 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +1.73 |
| M14 | Wycombe · Away15 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | +0.28 |
| M15 | Oxford · Away22 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +2.06 |
| M16 | Accrington · Home25 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +3.05 |
| M17 | Cambridge · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +3.93 |
| M18 | Exeter · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.38 | +2.54 |
| M19 | Bristol Rovers · Away19 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | +1.06 |
| M20 | Barnsley · Home2 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −0.47 |
| M21 | Ipswich · Away10 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −1.20 |
| M22 | Charlton · Away26 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −1.70 |
| M23 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home29 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −0.56 |
| M24 | Wycombe · Home1 Jan 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.73 | −2.30 |
| M25 | Port Vale · Away16 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −0.73 |
| M26 | Portsmouth · Home28 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +0.55 |
| M27 | Forest Green · Away4 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +1.79 |
| M28 | Bolton · Home11 Feb 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.61 | +0.18 |
| M29 | Fleetwood Town · Away14 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | −1.48 |
| M30 | Morecambe · Away18 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −0.41 |
| M31 | Plymouth · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.35 | +0.95 |
| M32 | Charlton · Home28 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.88 | +0.06 |
| M33 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.84 |
| M34 | Shrewsbury · Home7 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +0.29 |
| M35 | Cheltenham · Home11 Mar 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.03 | −1.74 |
| M36 | Burton · Away14 Mar 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.29 |
| M37 | Lincoln · Away18 Mar 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +1.16 |
| M38 | Derby · Home25 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.80 |
| M39 | Oxford · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.78 | +2.01 |
| M40 | Shrewsbury · Away7 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +3.40 |
| M41 | Exeter · Home10 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +4.39 |
| M42 | Cambridge · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.67 | +2.72 |
| M43 | Accrington · Away18 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +3.85 |
| M44 | Ipswich · Home22 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.01 | +2.85 |
| M45 | Bristol Rovers · Home29 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.16 | +1.69 |
| M46 | Barnsley · Away7 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +3.21 |
| Total | 77 | +3.21 | |||