Points
49Points expected by the market
60.82Gap
−11.82Yield
−31.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −2.78 | −26.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 30 | −2.97 | −19.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 4 | −6.07 | −64.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −1.19 | −17.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +0.25 | −6.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −3.79 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.58 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 16 | −3.22 | −28.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −2.28 | −43.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fleetwood Town · Home30 Jul 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +1.26 |
| M2 | Exeter · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.16 |
| M3 | Bolton · Home13 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.16 |
| M4 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away16 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.25 |
| M5 | Burton · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.37 |
| M6 | Portsmouth · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −0.85 |
| M7 | Cheltenham · Home3 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.78 | −1.64 |
| M8 | Barnsley · Away13 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −1.74 |
| M9 | Shrewsbury · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −0.15 |
| M10 | Peterborough · Away24 Sep 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.28 |
| M11 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −2.26 |
| M12 | Derby · Away8 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.01 | −0.26 |
| M13 | Forest Green · Home15 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.75 | −1.01 |
| M14 | Cambridge · Away22 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.50 |
| M15 | Ipswich · Home25 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −0.49 |
| M16 | Lincoln · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +0.78 |
| M17 | Wycombe · Away1 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.63 |
| M18 | Oxford · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.17 | −0.55 |
| M19 | Charlton · Home19 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +0.97 |
| M20 | Plymouth · Away2 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +2.85 |
| M21 | Bristol Rovers · Away10 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | +1.52 |
| M22 | Morecambe · Home26 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +2.48 |
| M23 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away29 Dec 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | +1.71 |
| M24 | Forest Green · Away1 Jan 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +3.26 |
| M25 | Peterborough · Home16 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +1.98 |
| M26 | Derby · Home24 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +1.01 |
| M27 | Cheltenham · Away28 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.65 |
| M28 | Wycombe · Home4 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −0.72 |
| M29 | Accrington · Home7 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | −1.62 |
| M30 | Shrewsbury · Away11 Feb 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −2.82 |
| M31 | Barnsley · Home14 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −4.06 |
| M32 | Exeter · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −2.62 |
| M33 | Morecambe · Away21 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −4.21 |
| M34 | Bolton · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −5.09 |
| M35 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −3.83 |
| M36 | Fleetwood Town · Away11 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −4.21 |
| M37 | Burton · Home18 Mar 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.79 | −6.01 |
| M38 | Portsmouth · Away25 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.13 | −6.13 |
| M39 | Cambridge · Home1 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.72 | −7.85 |
| M40 | Accrington · Away7 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −9.37 |
| M41 | Oxford · Home10 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −9.67 |
| M42 | Lincoln · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −10.97 |
| M43 | Ipswich · Away18 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.34 | −11.31 |
| M44 | Bristol Rovers · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −9.87 |
| M45 | Charlton · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −10.97 |
| M46 | Plymouth · Home7 May 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −11.82 |
| Total | 49 | −11.82 | |||