Points
96Points expected by the market
86.22Gap
+9.78Yield
+4.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 32 | +3.02 | +7.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 23 | 49 | +5.76 | +5.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +1.07 | +8.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 32 | +5.22 | +15.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +0.93 | −5.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.34 | +33.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.20 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 31 | +4.83 | +12.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | −0.27 | +1.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.06 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Portsmouth · Home30 Jul 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.89 | −0.89 |
| M2 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away6 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.62 |
| M3 | Charlton · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.74 |
| M4 | Peterborough · Away16 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +0.30 |
| M5 | Bolton · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.88 |
| M6 | Forest Green · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +2.72 |
| M7 | Barnsley · Home3 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.96 | +0.76 |
| M8 | Morecambe · Away13 Sep 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +1.72 |
| M9 | Ipswich · Home17 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | +1.39 |
| M10 | Wycombe · Home24 Sep 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +2.41 |
| M11 | Port Vale · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +3.67 |
| M12 | Plymouth · Away4 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +2.19 |
| M13 | Cheltenham · Home8 Oct 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.77 | +2.96 |
| M14 | Cambridge · Away15 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +4.06 |
| M15 | Lincoln · Away22 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | +3.16 |
| M16 | Bristol Rovers · Home26 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.14 | +2.01 |
| M17 | Burton · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.87 | +2.88 |
| M18 | Accrington · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +3.94 |
| M19 | Shrewsbury · Home19 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.80 | +4.75 |
| M20 | Derby · Away3 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | +4.25 |
| M21 | Exeter · Away10 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +3.52 |
| M22 | Oxford · Home17 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.80 | +2.73 |
| M23 | Fleetwood Town · Away26 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +3.85 |
| M24 | Port Vale · Home29 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +4.88 |
| M25 | Cambridge · Home2 Jan 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.60 | +5.47 |
| M26 | Wycombe · Away14 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +6.94 |
| M27 | Fleetwood Town · Home21 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +7.81 |
| M28 | Plymouth · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +8.89 |
| M29 | Ipswich · Away11 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | +8.83 |
| M30 | Morecambe · Home14 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +9.49 |
| M31 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.88 | +10.37 |
| M32 | Charlton · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +11.66 |
| M33 | Peterborough · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +12.82 |
| M34 | Portsmouth · Away11 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +14.13 |
| M35 | Bolton · Home17 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | +13.30 |
| M36 | Barnsley · Away21 Mar 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.41 | +11.89 |
| M37 | Forest Green · Away26 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.20 | +9.69 |
| M38 | Cheltenham · Away29 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.97 | +8.72 |
| M39 | Lincoln · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.26 | +7.46 |
| M40 | Oxford · Away7 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | +6.85 |
| M41 | Accrington · Home10 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +7.47 |
| M42 | Burton · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.03 | +5.44 |
| M43 | Bristol Rovers · Away18 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +6.52 |
| M44 | Exeter · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.71 | +7.23 |
| M45 | Shrewsbury · Away29 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +8.12 |
| M46 | Derby · Home7 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +9.78 |
| Total | 96 | +9.78 | |||