← League One 2022-23

Shrewsbury

Season 2022-23 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLLWL

Points

Points expected by the market

55.92

Gap

+3.08

Yield

−1.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	9	8.61	+0.39	+15.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	27	45	35.82	+9.18	+33.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	14	5	11.49	−6.49	−73.8%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	9	8.61	+0.39	+15.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	27	18.86	+8.14	+48.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	0	3.66	−3.66	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	13	18	16.96	+1.04	+16.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more	10	5	7.83	−2.83	−63.3%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Morecambe · Away30 Jul 2022	30 Jul 2022	D 0-0	2.29	1.52	1	−0.52	−0.52	−€1.00
M2	Accrington · Home6 Aug 2022	6 Aug 2022	L 0-1	2.15	1.60	0	−1.60	−2.12	−€1.00
M3	Wycombe · Away13 Aug 2022	13 Aug 2022	W 2-1	3.13	1.20	3	+1.80	−0.32	+€2.13
M4	Derby · Home16 Aug 2022	16 Aug 2022	D 0-0	3.10	1.22	1	−0.22	−0.54	−€1.00
M5	Ipswich · Home20 Aug 2022	20 Aug 2022	L 0-3	3.86	1.04	0	−1.04	−1.57	−€1.00
M6	Bristol Rovers · Away27 Aug 2022	27 Aug 2022	D 1-1	2.53	1.42	1	−0.42	−1.99	−€1.00
M7	Forest Green · Away3 Sep 2022	3 Sep 2022	W 2-0	2.73	1.35	3	+1.65	−0.34	+€1.73
M8	Exeter · Home13 Sep 2022	13 Sep 2022	W 3-2	2.89	1.28	3	+1.72	+1.39	+€1.89
M9	Port Vale · Away17 Sep 2022	17 Sep 2022	L 1-2	2.97	1.27	0	−1.27	+0.11	−€1.00
M10	Burton · Home24 Sep 2022	24 Sep 2022	W 2-1	2.34	1.50	3	+1.50	+1.61	+€1.34
M11	Cheltenham · Away1 Oct 2022	1 Oct 2022	L 0-2	2.91	1.27	0	−1.27	+0.34	−€1.00
M12	Milton Keynes Dons · Home8 Oct 2022	8 Oct 2022	W 2-1	2.37	1.49	3	+1.51	+1.85	+€1.37
M13	Fleetwood Town · Away15 Oct 2022	15 Oct 2022	W 1-0	3.29	1.17	3	+1.83	+3.68	+€2.29
M14	Charlton · Home22 Oct 2022	22 Oct 2022	L 0-1	3.01	1.23	0	−1.23	+2.45	−€1.00
M15	Plymouth · Away25 Oct 2022	25 Oct 2022	L 1-2	4.01	0.98	0	−0.98	+1.47	−€1.00
M16	Portsmouth · Away29 Oct 2022	29 Oct 2022	D 1-1	4.28	0.92	1	+0.08	+1.55	−€1.00
M17	Oxford · Home9 Nov 2022	9 Nov 2022	D 1-1	3.06	1.21	1	−0.21	+1.34	−€1.00
M18	Barnsley · Home12 Nov 2022	12 Nov 2022	L 0-1	2.93	1.27	0	−1.27	+0.07	−€1.00
M19	Sheffield Wednesday · Away19 Nov 2022	19 Nov 2022	L 0-1	7.37	0.59	0	−0.59	−0.52	−€1.00
M20	Lincoln · Home3 Dec 2022	3 Dec 2022	W 2-0	2.33	1.51	3	+1.49	+0.97	+€1.33
M21	Bolton · Home10 Dec 2022	10 Dec 2022	W 3-2	3.31	1.15	3	+1.85	+2.82	+€2.31
M22	Cambridge · Away26 Dec 2022	26 Dec 2022	L 1-2	2.63	1.38	0	−1.38	+1.44	−€1.00
M23	Cheltenham · Home29 Dec 2022	29 Dec 2022	L 0-1	1.97	1.72	0	−1.72	−0.28	−€1.00
M24	Fleetwood Town · Home1 Jan 2023	1 Jan 2023	L 0-3	2.29	1.54	0	−1.54	−1.82	−€1.00
M25	Burton · Away14 Jan 2023	14 Jan 2023	W 4-0	2.95	1.25	3	+1.75	−0.07	+€1.95
M26	Cambridge · Home21 Jan 2023	21 Jan 2023	W 5-1	1.86	1.80	3	+1.20	+1.14	+€0.86
M27	Milton Keynes Dons · Away24 Jan 2023	24 Jan 2023	W 1-0	2.99	1.26	3	+1.74	+2.88	+€1.99
M28	Forest Green · Home28 Jan 2023	28 Jan 2023	W 2-1	2.13	1.62	3	+1.38	+4.26	+€1.13
M29	Oxford · Away4 Feb 2023	4 Feb 2023	W 1-0	3.67	1.06	3	+1.94	+6.20	+€2.67
M30	Port Vale · Home11 Feb 2023	11 Feb 2023	W 3-2	2.43	1.48	3	+1.52	+7.72	+€1.43
M31	Exeter · Away14 Feb 2023	14 Feb 2023	D 0-0	3.28	1.17	1	−0.17	+7.55	−€1.00
M32	Accrington · Away18 Feb 2023	18 Feb 2023	L 0-1	2.23	1.56	0	−1.56	+5.99	−€1.00
M33	Wycombe · Home25 Feb 2023	25 Feb 2023	W 2-0	2.59	1.39	3	+1.61	+7.60	+€1.59
M34	Derby · Away4 Mar 2023	4 Mar 2023	D 2-2	6.06	0.71	1	+0.29	+7.89	−€1.00
M35	Peterborough · Away7 Mar 2023	7 Mar 2023	L 1-2	4.73	0.87	0	−0.87	+7.02	−€1.00
M36	Morecambe · Home11 Mar 2023	11 Mar 2023	W 3-1	1.77	1.88	3	+1.12	+8.15	+€0.77
M37	Ipswich · Away18 Mar 2023	18 Mar 2023	L 0-2	10.50	0.46	0	−0.46	+7.68	−€1.00
M38	Charlton · Away1 Apr 2023	1 Apr 2023	L 0-6	3.33	1.15	0	−1.15	+6.54	−€1.00
M39	Peterborough · Home7 Apr 2023	7 Apr 2023	L 0-3	3.52	1.10	0	−1.10	+5.44	−€1.00
M40	Barnsley · Away10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	L 1-2	8.20	0.57	0	−0.57	+4.88	−€1.00
M41	Portsmouth · Home15 Apr 2023	15 Apr 2023	D 1-1	3.18	1.19	1	−0.19	+4.69	−€1.00
M42	Plymouth · Home18 Apr 2023	18 Apr 2023	L 1-2	4.57	0.88	0	−0.88	+3.81	−€1.00
M43	Bolton · Away22 Apr 2023	22 Apr 2023	L 0-1	6.78	0.65	0	−0.65	+3.16	−€1.00
M44	Sheffield Wednesday · Home29 Apr 2023	29 Apr 2023	L 0-3	6.67	0.65	0	−0.65	+2.51	−€1.00
M45	Bristol Rovers · Home2 May 2023	2 May 2023	W 2-1	2.55	1.40	3	+1.60	+4.10	+€1.55
M46	Lincoln · Away7 May 2023	7 May 2023	L 0-1	3.76	1.03	0	−1.03	+3.08	−€1.00
Total					55.92	59	+3.08		−€0.67