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← League One 2023-24

Bolton

Season 2023-24 · 46 matches played

Last 5WDDWD

Points

87

Points expected by the market

79.99

Gap

+7.01

Yield

+1.7%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 5 13 11.13 +1.87 +11.6%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 30 59 54.22 +4.78 +2.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 11 15 14.65 +0.35 −5.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 0 — — — —

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Lincoln · Home5 Aug 2023 5 Aug 2023 W 3-0 1.74 1.89 3 +1.11 +1.11 +€0.74
M2 Cheltenham · Away12 Aug 2023 12 Aug 2023 W 3-0 1.86 1.79 3 +1.21 +2.32 +€0.86
M3 Fleetwood Town · Home15 Aug 2023 15 Aug 2023 W 3-1 1.65 1.95 3 +1.05 +3.37 +€0.65
M4 Wigan · Home19 Aug 2023 19 Aug 2023 L 0-4 1.75 1.86 0 −1.86 +1.51 −€1.00
M5 Burton · Away26 Aug 2023 26 Aug 2023 D 1-1 1.86 1.78 1 −0.78 +0.72 −€1.00
M6 Derby · Home2 Sep 2023 2 Sep 2023 W 2-1 2.15 1.59 3 +1.41 +2.14 +€1.15
M7 Reading · Away16 Sep 2023 16 Sep 2023 L 1-2 2.12 1.60 0 −1.60 +0.53 −€1.00
M8 Peterborough · Home23 Sep 2023 23 Sep 2023 D 1-1 2.12 1.60 1 −0.60 −0.07 −€1.00
M9 Port Vale · Away30 Sep 2023 30 Sep 2023 W 1-0 2.60 1.36 3 +1.64 +1.57 +€1.60
M10 Stevenage · Home3 Oct 2023 3 Oct 2023 W 3-2 2.14 1.60 3 +1.40 +2.97 +€1.14
M11 Carlisle · Home7 Oct 2023 7 Oct 2023 L 1-3 1.56 2.04 0 −2.04 +0.93 −€1.00
M12 Northampton · Home21 Oct 2023 21 Oct 2023 W 2-1 1.79 1.83 3 +1.17 +2.09 +€0.79
M13 Wycombe · Away24 Oct 2023 24 Oct 2023 W 4-2 2.76 1.30 3 +1.70 +3.79 +€1.76
M14 Charlton · Away28 Oct 2023 28 Oct 2023 W 2-0 2.78 1.28 3 +1.72 +5.51 +€1.78
M15 Shrewsbury · Away7 Nov 2023 7 Nov 2023 W 2-0 1.98 1.70 3 +1.30 +6.82 +€0.98
M16 Blackpool · Home11 Nov 2023 11 Nov 2023 W 1-0 2.18 1.56 3 +1.44 +8.25 +€1.18
M17 Exeter · Home25 Nov 2023 25 Nov 2023 W 7-0 1.46 2.15 3 +0.85 +9.10 +€0.46
M18 Oxford · Away28 Nov 2023 28 Nov 2023 D 0-0 2.61 1.36 1 −0.36 +8.75 −€1.00
M19 Portsmouth · Away11 Dec 2023 11 Dec 2023 L 0-2 3.14 1.17 0 −1.17 +7.57 −€1.00
M20 Bristol Rovers · Home16 Dec 2023 16 Dec 2023 L 1-2 1.63 1.97 0 −1.97 +5.61 −€1.00
M21 Leyton Orient · Home23 Dec 2023 23 Dec 2023 W 3-2 1.59 2.01 3 +0.99 +6.60 +€0.59
M22 Lincoln · Away26 Dec 2023 26 Dec 2023 W 1-0 1.99 1.69 3 +1.31 +7.91 +€0.99
M23 Fleetwood Town · Away29 Dec 2023 29 Dec 2023 W 2-0 1.71 1.90 3 +1.10 +9.01 +€0.71
M24 Burton · Home1 Jan 2024 1 Jan 2024 W 1-0 1.30 2.34 3 +0.66 +9.67 +€0.30
M25 Leyton Orient · Away20 Jan 2024 20 Jan 2024 L 0-1 2.33 1.49 0 −1.49 +8.18 −€1.00
M26 Cheltenham · Home23 Jan 2024 23 Jan 2024 W 1-0 1.50 2.09 3 +0.91 +9.09 +€0.50
M27 Carlisle · Away27 Jan 2024 27 Jan 2024 W 4-1 1.87 1.77 3 +1.23 +10.32 +€0.87
M28 Barnsley · Home3 Feb 2024 3 Feb 2024 D 1-1 1.94 1.71 1 −0.71 +9.61 −€1.00
M29 Northampton · Away10 Feb 2024 10 Feb 2024 D 1-1 1.77 1.84 1 −0.84 +8.77 −€1.00
M30 Wycombe · Home13 Feb 2024 13 Feb 2024 W 2-1 1.80 1.82 3 +1.18 +9.95 +€0.80
M31 Charlton · Home17 Feb 2024 17 Feb 2024 D 3-3 1.73 1.87 1 −0.87 +9.08 −€1.00
M32 Cambridge · Away20 Feb 2024 20 Feb 2024 W 2-1 2.31 1.51 3 +1.49 +10.57 +€1.31
M33 Blackpool · Away24 Feb 2024 24 Feb 2024 L 1-4 2.78 1.30 0 −1.30 +9.28 −€1.00
M34 Wigan · Away27 Feb 2024 27 Feb 2024 L 0-1 1.98 1.69 0 −1.69 +7.58 −€1.00
M35 Cambridge · Home2 Mar 2024 2 Mar 2024 W 2-0 1.49 2.10 3 +0.90 +8.48 +€0.49
M36 Barnsley · Away5 Mar 2024 5 Mar 2024 D 2-2 2.85 1.26 1 −0.26 +8.22 −€1.00
M37 Exeter · Away9 Mar 2024 9 Mar 2024 D 2-2 1.75 1.86 1 −0.86 +7.37 −€1.00
M38 Oxford · Home12 Mar 2024 12 Mar 2024 W 5-0 1.76 1.85 3 +1.15 +8.52 +€0.76
M39 Derby · Away16 Mar 2024 16 Mar 2024 L 0-1 3.12 1.19 0 −1.19 +7.32 −€1.00
M40 Stevenage · Away29 Mar 2024 29 Mar 2024 D 0-0 2.48 1.42 1 −0.42 +6.90 −€1.00
M41 Reading · Home1 Apr 2024 1 Apr 2024 W 5-2 1.52 2.06 3 +0.94 +7.84 +€0.52
M42 Bristol Rovers · Away6 Apr 2024 6 Apr 2024 W 2-0 1.53 2.06 3 +0.94 +8.77 +€0.53
M43 Portsmouth · Home13 Apr 2024 13 Apr 2024 D 1-1 2.02 1.66 1 −0.66 +8.11 −€1.00
M44 Shrewsbury · Home16 Apr 2024 16 Apr 2024 D 2-2 1.37 2.24 1 −1.24 +6.87 −€1.00
M45 Port Vale · Home20 Apr 2024 20 Apr 2024 W 2-0 1.33 2.30 3 +0.70 +7.57 +€0.33
M46 Peterborough · Away27 Apr 2024 27 Apr 2024 D 3-3 2.12 1.57 1 −0.57 +7.01 −€1.00
Total 79.99 87 +7.01 +€0.79