Points
57Points expected by the market
60.78Gap
−3.78Yield
−3.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 21 | −0.28 | −2.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 27 | −1.96 | −13.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 9 | −1.54 | +14.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 21 | −0.28 | −2.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −2.01 | −32.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.55 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | +0.05 | −2.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 9 | +1.01 | +52.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Portsmouth · Away5 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.08 |
| M2 | Barnsley · Home12 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.23 |
| M3 | Charlton · Away15 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +1.59 |
| M4 | Cambridge · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | +0.24 |
| M5 | Wycombe · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.29 |
| M6 | Lincoln · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −1.93 |
| M7 | Shrewsbury · Away16 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −0.45 |
| M8 | Wigan · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +0.97 |
| M9 | Peterborough · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | +0.05 |
| M10 | Port Vale · Home3 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.38 |
| M11 | Oxford · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.92 | +0.47 |
| M12 | Burton · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.39 | −0.92 |
| M13 | Stevenage · Home24 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −1.38 |
| M14 | Northampton · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | −0.13 |
| M15 | Reading · Away7 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.50 |
| M16 | Carlisle · Away11 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +0.99 |
| M17 | Derby · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | +0.27 |
| M18 | Leyton Orient · Home28 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −0.38 |
| M19 | Cheltenham · Home9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.95 | −1.33 |
| M20 | Bolton · Away16 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.20 | +0.87 |
| M21 | Blackpool · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.02 |
| M22 | Portsmouth · Home26 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.82 |
| M23 | Charlton · Home29 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.17 |
| M24 | Wycombe · Away1 Jan 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.30 | +1.87 |
| M25 | Barnsley · Away13 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +0.82 |
| M26 | Blackpool · Home20 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −0.56 |
| M27 | Exeter · Home23 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.91 | −2.47 |
| M28 | Oxford · Home27 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −0.99 |
| M29 | Exeter · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.59 |
| M30 | Fleetwood Town · Home6 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.87 | −1.27 |
| M31 | Burton · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.00 | −3.28 |
| M32 | Stevenage · Away13 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.12 | −1.16 |
| M33 | Northampton · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −2.53 |
| M34 | Carlisle · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | −1.47 |
| M35 | Leyton Orient · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | +0.59 |
| M36 | Derby · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −0.40 |
| M37 | Fleetwood Town · Away12 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.50 |
| M38 | Lincoln · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.37 |
| M39 | Port Vale · Away29 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −2.55 |
| M40 | Shrewsbury · Home1 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | −3.12 |
| M41 | Bolton · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −3.83 |
| M42 | Reading · Home9 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −5.08 |
| M43 | Cheltenham · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.92 | −3.16 |
| M44 | Cambridge · Home16 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −1.84 |
| M45 | Peterborough · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −2.69 |
| M46 | Wigan · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −3.78 |
| Total | 57 | −3.78 | |||