Points
30Points expected by the market
46.17Gap
−16.17Yield
−29.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.41 | +118.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 10 | −10.40 | −66.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 29 | 17 | −7.18 | −13.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.41 | +118.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 10 | −8.03 | −62.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 2 | −5.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.37 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 15 | −2.15 | +19.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fleetwood Town · Home5 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.49 |
| M2 | Oxford · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −1.49 |
| M3 | Wigan · Home15 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −1.87 |
| M4 | Exeter · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.19 |
| M5 | Port Vale · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −4.36 |
| M6 | Shrewsbury · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −2.95 |
| M7 | Stevenage · Away9 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.15 | −2.80 |
| M8 | Lincoln · Away16 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −2.83 |
| M9 | Derby · Home23 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −3.94 |
| M10 | Wycombe · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −4.92 |
| M11 | Peterborough · Home3 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −4.96 |
| M12 | Bolton · Away7 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.27 | −2.69 |
| M13 | Leyton Orient · Home14 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −4.06 |
| M14 | Portsmouth · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.59 | −4.65 |
| M15 | Burton · Home24 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | −3.09 |
| M16 | Cambridge · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −4.29 |
| M17 | Bristol Rovers · Home11 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −5.50 |
| M18 | Charlton · Home25 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −5.67 |
| M19 | Reading · Away28 Nov 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.93 | −6.61 |
| M20 | Blackpool · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.54 | −7.15 |
| M21 | Northampton · Home16 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | −7.44 |
| M22 | Cheltenham · Home23 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −8.90 |
| M23 | Fleetwood Town · Away26 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −8.90 |
| M24 | Wigan · Away29 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −9.85 |
| M25 | Port Vale · Home1 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −8.13 |
| M26 | Exeter · Away6 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −9.19 |
| M27 | Oxford · Home13 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −10.28 |
| M28 | Barnsley · Away16 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −10.98 |
| M29 | Bolton · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.96 | −11.93 |
| M30 | Leyton Orient · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.68 | −12.62 |
| M31 | Portsmouth · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | −13.38 |
| M32 | Cambridge · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.32 | −14.70 |
| M33 | Bristol Rovers · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −15.51 |
| M34 | Burton · Away27 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | −13.55 |
| M35 | Reading · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −14.64 |
| M36 | Charlton · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.66 | −15.30 |
| M37 | Barnsley · Home12 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −16.17 |
| M38 | Shrewsbury · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −17.16 |
| M39 | Stevenage · Home23 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.22 | −16.94 |
| M40 | Peterborough · Away29 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.59 | −14.34 |
| M41 | Lincoln · Home1 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −15.10 |
| M42 | Northampton · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −16.09 |
| M43 | Cheltenham · Away9 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | −13.93 |
| M44 | Blackpool · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | −14.74 |
| M45 | Wycombe · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −15.79 |
| M46 | Derby · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.38 | −16.17 |
| Total | 30 | −16.17 | |||