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← League One 2023-24

Lincoln

Season 2023-24 · 46 matches played

Last 5DLWWL

Points

74

Points expected by the market

60.86

Gap

+13.14

Yield

+8.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 13 28 23.09 +4.91 +30.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 20 36 26.34 +9.66 +26.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more 13 10 11.43 −1.43 −40.8%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Bolton · Away5 Aug 2023 5 Aug 2023 L 0-3 4.85 0.85 0 −0.85 −0.85 −€1.00
M2 Wycombe · Home12 Aug 2023 12 Aug 2023 W 3-0 2.41 1.46 3 +1.54 +0.69 +€1.41
M3 Northampton · Away15 Aug 2023 15 Aug 2023 D 2-2 2.60 1.39 1 −0.39 +0.30 −€1.00
M4 Shrewsbury · Away19 Aug 2023 19 Aug 2023 W 1-0 2.62 1.38 3 +1.62 +1.92 +€1.62
M5 Blackpool · Home26 Aug 2023 26 Aug 2023 W 3-0 2.73 1.33 3 +1.67 +3.58 +€1.73
M6 Bristol Rovers · Away2 Sep 2023 2 Sep 2023 D 1-1 3.62 1.07 1 −0.07 +3.52 −€1.00
M7 Carlisle · Home16 Sep 2023 16 Sep 2023 D 1-1 2.03 1.68 1 −0.68 +2.83 −€1.00
M8 Portsmouth · Away23 Sep 2023 23 Sep 2023 L 1-2 5.13 0.80 0 −0.80 +2.03 −€1.00
M9 Cheltenham · Home30 Sep 2023 30 Sep 2023 W 2-0 1.72 1.90 3 +1.10 +3.13 +€0.72
M10 Peterborough · Away7 Oct 2023 7 Oct 2023 L 0-2 5.43 0.76 0 −0.76 +2.37 −€1.00
M11 Burton · Home14 Oct 2023 14 Oct 2023 L 0-1 1.99 1.70 0 −1.70 +0.67 −€1.00
M12 Fleetwood Town · Away21 Oct 2023 21 Oct 2023 W 1-0 3.41 1.11 3 +1.89 +2.56 +€2.41
M13 Charlton · Home24 Oct 2023 24 Oct 2023 W 3-1 2.92 1.25 3 +1.75 +4.31 +€1.92
M14 Exeter · Away28 Oct 2023 28 Oct 2023 D 1-1 3.10 1.20 1 −0.20 +4.11 −€1.00
M15 Oxford · Home31 Oct 2023 31 Oct 2023 L 0-2 3.28 1.16 0 −1.16 +2.95 −€1.00
M16 Port Vale · Home11 Nov 2023 11 Nov 2023 D 1-1 2.46 1.44 1 −0.44 +2.51 −€1.00
M17 Stevenage · Away18 Nov 2023 18 Nov 2023 L 0-1 4.75 0.88 0 −0.88 +1.63 −€1.00
M18 Leyton Orient · Away21 Nov 2023 21 Nov 2023 W 1-0 4.19 0.96 3 +2.04 +3.67 +€3.19
M19 Barnsley · Home25 Nov 2023 25 Nov 2023 D 2-2 3.11 1.19 1 −0.19 +3.49 −€1.00
M20 Cambridge · Away28 Nov 2023 28 Nov 2023 W 3-0 2.93 1.27 3 +1.73 +5.22 +€1.93
M21 Wigan · Away9 Dec 2023 9 Dec 2023 D 0-0 3.45 1.10 1 −0.10 +5.12 −€1.00
M22 Reading · Home16 Dec 2023 16 Dec 2023 D 1-1 2.30 1.51 1 −0.51 +4.60 −€1.00
M23 Derby · Away21 Dec 2023 21 Dec 2023 L 1-3 6.79 0.64 0 −0.64 +3.96 −€1.00
M24 Bolton · Home26 Dec 2023 26 Dec 2023 L 0-1 3.73 1.03 0 −1.03 +2.93 −€1.00
M25 Northampton · Home29 Dec 2023 29 Dec 2023 L 1-2 2.20 1.59 0 −1.59 +1.34 −€1.00
M26 Blackpool · Away1 Jan 2024 1 Jan 2024 L 0-2 6.33 0.67 0 −0.67 +0.67 −€1.00
M27 Wycombe · Away13 Jan 2024 13 Jan 2024 D 1-1 4.50 0.90 1 +0.10 +0.77 −€1.00
M28 Derby · Home20 Jan 2024 20 Jan 2024 D 0-0 4.71 0.85 1 +0.15 +0.91 −€1.00
M29 Peterborough · Home27 Jan 2024 27 Jan 2024 D 0-0 4.07 0.95 1 +0.05 +0.96 −€1.00
M30 Burton · Away3 Feb 2024 3 Feb 2024 W 1-0 2.20 1.58 3 +1.42 +2.38 +€1.20
M31 Fleetwood Town · Home10 Feb 2024 10 Feb 2024 W 2-1 2.04 1.66 3 +1.34 +3.72 +€1.04
M32 Charlton · Away13 Feb 2024 13 Feb 2024 D 1-1 3.13 1.18 1 −0.18 +3.54 −€1.00
M33 Exeter · Home17 Feb 2024 17 Feb 2024 W 1-0 2.17 1.59 3 +1.41 +4.95 +€1.17
M34 Port Vale · Away24 Feb 2024 24 Feb 2024 W 2-0 2.57 1.39 3 +1.61 +6.55 +€1.57
M35 Shrewsbury · Home27 Feb 2024 27 Feb 2024 W 3-0 1.92 1.76 3 +1.24 +7.79 +€0.92
M36 Stevenage · Home2 Mar 2024 2 Mar 2024 D 0-0 2.76 1.33 1 −0.33 +7.46 −€1.00
M37 Barnsley · Away9 Mar 2024 9 Mar 2024 W 5-1 3.44 1.10 3 +1.90 +9.36 +€2.44
M38 Cambridge · Home12 Mar 2024 12 Mar 2024 W 6-0 1.71 1.91 3 +1.09 +10.45 +€0.71
M39 Bristol Rovers · Home16 Mar 2024 16 Mar 2024 W 5-0 1.77 1.86 3 +1.14 +11.59 +€0.77
M40 Leyton Orient · Home29 Mar 2024 29 Mar 2024 W 1-0 2.07 1.65 3 +1.35 +12.94 +€1.07
M41 Carlisle · Away1 Apr 2024 1 Apr 2024 W 3-1 1.60 2.00 3 +1.00 +13.94 +€0.60
M42 Reading · Away6 Apr 2024 6 Apr 2024 D 1-1 2.62 1.36 1 −0.36 +13.58 −€1.00
M43 Wigan · Home13 Apr 2024 13 Apr 2024 L 1-2 1.65 1.96 0 −1.96 +11.63 −€1.00
M44 Oxford · Away16 Apr 2024 16 Apr 2024 W 1-0 3.51 1.06 3 +1.94 +13.56 +€2.51
M45 Cheltenham · Away20 Apr 2024 20 Apr 2024 W 2-1 2.02 1.67 3 +1.33 +14.89 +€1.02
M46 Portsmouth · Home27 Apr 2024 27 Apr 2024 L 0-2 1.90 1.74 0 −1.74 +13.14 −€1.00
Total 60.86 74 +13.14 +€3.95