Points
60Points expected by the market
53.35Gap
+6.65Yield
+18.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +2.14 | +51.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 35 | +5.47 | +24.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 16 | −0.97 | +4.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +2.14 | +51.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 25 | +3.28 | +15.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.42 | +116.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.19 | +47.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 12 | −2.39 | −15.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stevenage · Home5 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.34 |
| M2 | Wigan · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.35 |
| M3 | Lincoln · Home15 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −2.66 |
| M4 | Peterborough · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −0.80 |
| M5 | Cheltenham · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +0.79 |
| M6 | Wycombe · Home2 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −0.67 |
| M7 | Port Vale · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.85 |
| M8 | Barnsley · Home23 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −3.12 |
| M9 | Exeter · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −1.23 |
| M10 | Reading · Home3 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +0.31 |
| M11 | Shrewsbury · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −1.14 |
| M12 | Bolton · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.05 |
| M13 | Leyton Orient · Home24 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | −2.48 |
| M14 | Bristol Rovers · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −3.46 |
| M15 | Derby · Away31 Oct 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.70 | −4.16 |
| M16 | Burton · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −2.70 |
| M17 | Cambridge · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −1.39 |
| M18 | Blackpool · Away28 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.37 | +0.98 |
| M19 | Portsmouth · Home2 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −0.20 |
| M20 | Fleetwood Town · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.22 |
| M21 | Carlisle · Away16 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | +0.82 |
| M22 | Oxford · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +2.64 |
| M23 | Stevenage · Away26 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | +1.81 |
| M24 | Lincoln · Away29 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +3.71 |
| M25 | Cheltenham · Home1 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +5.23 |
| M26 | Wigan · Home13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +4.67 |
| M27 | Charlton · Away23 Jan 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.02 | +6.70 |
| M28 | Shrewsbury · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.84 | +4.86 |
| M29 | Portsmouth · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.62 | +4.24 |
| M30 | Bolton · Home10 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | +4.34 |
| M31 | Leyton Orient · Away13 Feb 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.76 | +3.58 |
| M32 | Bristol Rovers · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +5.23 |
| M33 | Oxford · Away20 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.13 | +5.36 |
| M34 | Burton · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +7.10 |
| M35 | Charlton · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | +6.89 |
| M36 | Peterborough · Away5 Mar 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.60 | +6.29 |
| M37 | Cambridge · Away9 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | +6.24 |
| M38 | Blackpool · Home12 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | +5.22 |
| M39 | Wycombe · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +4.35 |
| M40 | Derby · Home23 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.34 | +6.69 |
| M41 | Reading · Away29 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | +5.84 |
| M42 | Port Vale · Home1 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +7.44 |
| M43 | Carlisle · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +8.70 |
| M44 | Fleetwood Town · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +7.65 |
| M45 | Exeter · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | +6.24 |
| M46 | Barnsley · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.41 | +6.65 |
| Total | 60 | +6.65 | |||