Points
77Points expected by the market
70.67Gap
+6.33Yield
+4.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 45 | +5.13 | +5.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 28 | +1.84 | +10.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.64 | −22.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 35 | +3.88 | +2.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −3.04 | −52.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.25 | +13.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 23 | +4.87 | +38.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.64 | −22.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cambridge · Away5 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −1.56 |
| M2 | Carlisle · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −0.29 |
| M3 | Derby · Away15 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | +1.71 |
| M4 | Barnsley · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +3.56 |
| M5 | Charlton · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +4.73 |
| M6 | Port Vale · Home2 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.90 | +2.83 |
| M7 | Fleetwood Town · Away16 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +4.31 |
| M8 | Exeter · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +5.47 |
| M9 | Stevenage · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +7.22 |
| M10 | Shrewsbury · Home3 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +8.13 |
| M11 | Bristol Rovers · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +9.29 |
| M12 | Blackpool · Home21 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +8.61 |
| M13 | Wigan · Away24 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +7.05 |
| M14 | Wycombe · Home28 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.74 | +6.31 |
| M15 | Lincoln · Away31 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +7.76 |
| M16 | Leyton Orient · Away11 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.59 | +9.36 |
| M17 | Cheltenham · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.81 | +7.55 |
| M18 | Bolton · Home28 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | +7.18 |
| M19 | Peterborough · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.95 | +6.22 |
| M20 | Reading · Away12 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +5.83 |
| M21 | Burton · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +6.77 |
| M22 | Northampton · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | +5.23 |
| M23 | Cambridge · Home26 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +6.28 |
| M24 | Derby · Home29 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.18 | +5.10 |
| M25 | Charlton · Away1 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +6.77 |
| M26 | Carlisle · Away13 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +8.13 |
| M27 | Barnsley · Home23 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +6.61 |
| M28 | Bristol Rovers · Away27 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.22 | +5.39 |
| M29 | Portsmouth · Home30 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | +5.21 |
| M30 | Reading · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | +4.59 |
| M31 | Blackpool · Away10 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +4.65 |
| M32 | Wigan · Home13 Feb 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.27 | +5.92 |
| M33 | Wycombe · Away17 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | +5.83 |
| M34 | Northampton · Home20 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | +4.95 |
| M35 | Leyton Orient · Home24 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | +3.40 |
| M36 | Portsmouth · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | +2.56 |
| M37 | Cheltenham · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +3.76 |
| M38 | Bolton · Away12 Mar 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.90 | +2.86 |
| M39 | Port Vale · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +4.31 |
| M40 | Shrewsbury · Away29 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | +3.64 |
| M41 | Fleetwood Town · Home1 Apr 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +4.71 |
| M42 | Burton · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +5.99 |
| M43 | Peterborough · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +7.76 |
| M44 | Lincoln · Home16 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | +6.08 |
| M45 | Stevenage · Home19 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | +5.26 |
| M46 | Exeter · Away27 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +6.33 |
| Total | 77 | +6.33 | |||