Points
41Points expected by the market
55.80Gap
−14.80Yield
−35.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 0 | −5.41 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 28 | 31 | −6.31 | −24.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 10 | −3.08 | −43.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 0 | −5.41 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 21 | −3.37 | −16.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −2.93 | −39.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 9 | −2.04 | −34.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Barnsley · Away5 Aug 2023 | L 0-7 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.89 |
| M2 | Reading · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +0.75 |
| M3 | Blackpool · Away15 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.76 |
| M4 | Charlton · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.97 | +2.73 |
| M5 | Carlisle · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +4.18 |
| M6 | Oxford · Away2 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.16 | +6.34 |
| M7 | Northampton · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +7.80 |
| M8 | Burton · Home19 Sep 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.70 | +6.10 |
| M9 | Cambridge · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +5.85 |
| M10 | Bolton · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | +4.49 |
| M11 | Bristol Rovers · Away3 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | +3.42 |
| M12 | Portsmouth · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +2.62 |
| M13 | Stevenage · Away21 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | +2.63 |
| M14 | Peterborough · Home24 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +1.48 |
| M15 | Cheltenham · Home28 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.94 | −0.46 |
| M16 | Lincoln · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.72 |
| M17 | Shrewsbury · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −2.12 |
| M18 | Derby · Home28 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −3.14 |
| M19 | Exeter · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −1.53 |
| M20 | Wigan · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.08 |
| M21 | Wycombe · Away23 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.19 |
| M22 | Barnsley · Home26 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.33 |
| M23 | Blackpool · Home29 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +0.58 |
| M24 | Carlisle · Away1 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −0.85 |
| M25 | Charlton · Home6 Jan 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.52 | −1.37 |
| M26 | Portsmouth · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −2.45 |
| M27 | Fleetwood Town · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −3.93 |
| M28 | Leyton Orient · Home6 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −5.09 |
| M29 | Stevenage · Home10 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | −5.11 |
| M30 | Cheltenham · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −6.02 |
| M31 | Reading · Away20 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −6.94 |
| M32 | Lincoln · Home24 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −8.25 |
| M33 | Fleetwood Town · Home27 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −8.69 |
| M34 | Derby · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.62 | −9.31 |
| M35 | Shrewsbury · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −10.84 |
| M36 | Leyton Orient · Away12 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.16 | −10.68 |
| M37 | Oxford · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −11.83 |
| M38 | Burton · Away23 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −9.94 |
| M39 | Bristol Rovers · Home29 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −8.48 |
| M40 | Northampton · Away1 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −9.79 |
| M41 | Wigan · Away6 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −9.99 |
| M42 | Peterborough · Away10 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.62 | −10.61 |
| M43 | Exeter · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.76 | −12.37 |
| M44 | Wycombe · Home16 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −13.83 |
| M45 | Bolton · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.52 | −14.34 |
| M46 | Cambridge · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | −14.80 |
| Total | 41 | −14.80 | |||