Points
59Points expected by the market
60.45Gap
−1.45Yield
−10.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 28 | +6.94 | +42.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 23 | −6.74 | −32.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | −1.66 | −21.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 25 | +5.57 | +36.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 13 | +0.10 | −2.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.00 | +101.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.37 | +108.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 10 | −6.84 | −55.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −2.65 | −48.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Peterborough · Home5 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.24 |
| M2 | Port Vale · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −2.60 |
| M3 | Cheltenham · Home15 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −1.26 |
| M4 | Stevenage · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +0.53 |
| M5 | Exeter · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.49 |
| M6 | Cambridge · Away4 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.77 |
| M7 | Bolton · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +0.10 |
| M8 | Blackpool · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.95 |
| M9 | Burton · Home30 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | −1.71 |
| M10 | Northampton · Away3 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −2.98 |
| M11 | Leyton Orient · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −4.20 |
| M12 | Charlton · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.99 | −5.19 |
| M13 | Fleetwood Town · Home24 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −6.80 |
| M14 | Portsmouth · Home28 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −7.85 |
| M15 | Bristol Rovers · Home7 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −8.21 |
| M16 | Shrewsbury · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −9.47 |
| M17 | Wycombe · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | −7.55 |
| M18 | Carlisle · Home28 Nov 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −6.35 |
| M19 | Barnsley · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −7.70 |
| M20 | Oxford · Home12 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −8.03 |
| M21 | Lincoln · Away16 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −8.23 |
| M22 | Wigan · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −7.01 |
| M23 | Peterborough · Away26 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.38 | −6.63 |
| M24 | Cheltenham · Away29 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −7.07 |
| M25 | Exeter · Home1 Jan 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.14 | −5.93 |
| M26 | Wigan · Away20 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −7.16 |
| M27 | Derby · Home23 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | −5.11 |
| M28 | Leyton Orient · Home27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −5.43 |
| M29 | Oxford · Away3 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −5.54 |
| M30 | Stevenage · Away6 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.13 | −3.41 |
| M31 | Charlton · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −1.96 |
| M32 | Fleetwood Town · Away13 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −2.39 |
| M33 | Portsmouth · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.73 | −3.12 |
| M34 | Port Vale · Home20 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −1.94 |
| M35 | Shrewsbury · Home24 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.87 | −3.80 |
| M36 | Carlisle · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −2.43 |
| M37 | Wycombe · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −3.96 |
| M38 | Derby · Away12 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −4.70 |
| M39 | Cambridge · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.18 | −3.52 |
| M40 | Northampton · Home29 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −2.43 |
| M41 | Bolton · Away1 Apr 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.72 | −3.15 |
| M42 | Lincoln · Home6 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −3.50 |
| M43 | Bristol Rovers · Away9 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −1.98 |
| M44 | Barnsley · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.09 | −1.89 |
| M45 | Burton · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.48 | −3.37 |
| M46 | Blackpool · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.92 | −1.45 |
| Total | 59 | −1.45 | |||