Points
48Points expected by the market
49.03Gap
−1.03Yield
−8.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.27 | +94.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 23 | +0.48 | +11.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 28 | 22 | −2.77 | −24.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.27 | +94.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 19 | −0.08 | +12.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −2.54 | −47.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.56 | +5.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 17 | −0.23 | −15.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cheltenham · Home5 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +1.46 |
| M2 | Stevenage · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +0.40 |
| M3 | Burton · Home15 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +1.99 |
| M4 | Lincoln · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.67 |
| M5 | Fleetwood Town · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +2.61 |
| M6 | Carlisle · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +1.50 |
| M7 | Bristol Rovers · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.31 |
| M8 | Leyton Orient · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | −0.65 |
| M9 | Charlton · Home30 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.87 |
| M10 | Oxford · Away3 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.68 | −1.54 |
| M11 | Northampton · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +0.20 |
| M12 | Cambridge · Away14 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.19 |
| M13 | Derby · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +2.24 |
| M14 | Barnsley · Away24 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | +1.42 |
| M15 | Wigan · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +0.33 |
| M16 | Bolton · Home7 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.70 |
| M17 | Reading · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.54 | +0.85 |
| M18 | Blackpool · Away18 Nov 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.67 | +0.18 |
| M19 | Port Vale · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.88 |
| M20 | Exeter · Away28 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | +1.87 |
| M21 | Wycombe · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +3.91 |
| M22 | Portsmouth · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | +3.09 |
| M23 | Peterborough · Home23 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.71 | +2.38 |
| M24 | Cheltenham · Away26 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +1.30 |
| M25 | Burton · Away29 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | +0.24 |
| M26 | Fleetwood Town · Home1 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.94 |
| M27 | Stevenage · Home13 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | +0.95 |
| M28 | Peterborough · Away20 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.46 | +0.49 |
| M29 | Northampton · Away27 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.11 | +2.60 |
| M30 | Cambridge · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +1.12 |
| M31 | Derby · Away10 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.38 | +1.50 |
| M32 | Barnsley · Home13 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | +1.44 |
| M33 | Wigan · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | +0.08 |
| M34 | Reading · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.13 | +2.21 |
| M35 | Lincoln · Away27 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.94 | +1.27 |
| M36 | Blackpool · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | +0.35 |
| M37 | Port Vale · Away9 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +2.17 |
| M38 | Exeter · Home12 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.37 | +0.80 |
| M39 | Carlisle · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +2.06 |
| M40 | Oxford · Home29 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | +2.01 |
| M41 | Bristol Rovers · Away1 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +1.87 |
| M42 | Portsmouth · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.58 | +1.29 |
| M43 | Wycombe · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −0.12 |
| M44 | Bolton · Away16 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.44 | +0.31 |
| M45 | Charlton · Away20 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.45 |
| M46 | Leyton Orient · Home27 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −1.03 |
| Total | 48 | −1.03 | |||