Points
71Points expected by the market
71.03Gap
−0.03Yield
−8.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 34 | −4.40 | −20.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 36 | +6.27 | +15.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.89 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 23 | −4.87 | −27.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 15 | +3.70 | +24.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.46 | −1.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +2.57 | +9.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.89 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Northampton · Away5 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.65 |
| M2 | Shrewsbury · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.00 |
| M3 | Cambridge · Away15 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +4.65 |
| M4 | Reading · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | +3.14 |
| M5 | Portsmouth · Home26 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | +2.74 |
| M6 | Leyton Orient · Away2 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +4.37 |
| M7 | Carlisle · Home9 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.88 | +3.49 |
| M8 | Charlton · Home16 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +2.78 |
| M9 | Cheltenham · Away23 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +3.96 |
| M10 | Oxford · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.46 | +2.50 |
| M11 | Bolton · Away3 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.11 | +1.38 |
| M12 | Wigan · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +2.50 |
| M13 | Blackpool · Away14 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.12 | +1.38 |
| M14 | Port Vale · Home21 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | +0.64 |
| M15 | Bristol Rovers · Away24 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.38 |
| M16 | Derby · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +2.06 |
| M17 | Wycombe · Away11 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +3.73 |
| M18 | Lincoln · Home18 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +4.89 |
| M19 | Fleetwood Town · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +6.43 |
| M20 | Peterborough · Home28 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | +5.97 |
| M21 | Burton · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +7.36 |
| M22 | Exeter · Home16 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.04 | +6.32 |
| M23 | Barnsley · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +5.14 |
| M24 | Northampton · Home26 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +6.22 |
| M25 | Portsmouth · Away1 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | +5.21 |
| M26 | Shrewsbury · Away13 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +6.48 |
| M27 | Wigan · Away27 Jan 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.48 | +7.96 |
| M28 | Blackpool · Home3 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +9.44 |
| M29 | Reading · Home6 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.87 | +7.57 |
| M30 | Port Vale · Away10 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.70 | +6.87 |
| M31 | Bristol Rovers · Home13 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.85 | +5.02 |
| M32 | Derby · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | +3.91 |
| M33 | Wycombe · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +5.15 |
| M34 | Cambridge · Home27 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +6.19 |
| M35 | Lincoln · Away2 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | +5.84 |
| M36 | Fleetwood Town · Home9 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.94 | +4.90 |
| M37 | Peterborough · Away13 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.96 | +3.93 |
| M38 | Leyton Orient · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | +2.21 |
| M39 | Carlisle · Away23 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.98 | +1.23 |
| M40 | Bolton · Home29 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.94 |
| M41 | Charlton · Away1 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +0.55 |
| M42 | Exeter · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | −1.16 |
| M43 | Barnsley · Home9 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +0.37 |
| M44 | Burton · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.09 | −1.73 |
| M45 | Oxford · Away19 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | −1.64 |
| M46 | Cheltenham · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −0.03 |
| Total | 71 | −0.03 | |||