Points
75Points expected by the market
58.26Gap
+16.74Yield
+21.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 23 | +0.05 | −2.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 37 | +14.73 | +78.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 15 | +1.95 | −24.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 20 | −1.29 | −11.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 19 | +10.13 | +150.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 7 | +3.25 | +88.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.34 | +104.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 18 | +4.60 | +32.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | −1.29 | −65.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Birmingham · Away10 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.31 |
| M2 | Wigan · Home17 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.64 |
| M3 | Wrexham · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.08 | +0.55 |
| M4 | Charlton · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +2.11 |
| M5 | Leyton Orient · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.79 | +0.33 |
| M6 | Bolton · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.96 | −0.63 |
| M7 | Huddersfield · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.08 |
| M8 | Burton · Home1 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +2.18 |
| M9 | Rotherham · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +1.10 |
| M10 | Crawley Town · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +2.19 |
| M11 | Exeter · Away22 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +3.98 |
| M12 | Bristol Rovers · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +5.16 |
| M13 | Stockport · Away29 Oct 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.91 | +4.25 |
| M14 | Stevenage · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +4.08 |
| M15 | Peterborough · Away23 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +5.93 |
| M16 | Barnsley · Away26 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.14 | +6.07 |
| M17 | Cambridge · Home3 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +7.24 |
| M18 | Wycombe · Away7 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | +7.35 |
| M19 | Blackpool · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.54 | +5.80 |
| M20 | Lincoln · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +5.00 |
| M21 | Northampton · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +6.14 |
| M22 | Mansfield · Home29 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +7.96 |
| M23 | Cambridge · Away1 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +9.70 |
| M24 | Charlton · Away4 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.24 | +9.94 |
| M25 | Stockport · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | +8.91 |
| M26 | Leyton Orient · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | +8.03 |
| M27 | Burton · Away28 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +6.80 |
| M28 | Bolton · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +8.77 |
| M29 | Huddersfield · Away8 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.33 | +9.10 |
| M30 | Shrewsbury · Home11 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | +8.49 |
| M31 | Rotherham · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +10.28 |
| M32 | Birmingham · Home22 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.29 | +10.56 |
| M33 | Wigan · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +12.54 |
| M34 | Exeter · Home4 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.83 | +11.71 |
| M35 | Crawley Town · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +11.34 |
| M36 | Wrexham · Home11 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +13.22 |
| M37 | Stevenage · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +12.83 |
| M38 | Peterborough · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +14.59 |
| M39 | Blackpool · Away1 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.84 | +13.75 |
| M40 | Wycombe · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +15.77 |
| M41 | Shrewsbury · Away8 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +17.11 |
| M42 | Northampton · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +16.86 |
| M43 | Lincoln · Home18 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | +15.29 |
| M44 | Mansfield · Away21 Apr 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +17.18 |
| M45 | Bristol Rovers · Away26 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +18.70 |
| M46 | Barnsley · Home3 May 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.96 | +16.74 |
| Total | 75 | +16.74 | |||