Points
33Points expected by the market
44.46Gap
−11.46Yield
−13.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.37 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 7 | −8.74 | −49.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 31 | 24 | −1.36 | +6.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.37 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 3 | −7.00 | −57.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 13 | +0.39 | +63.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −1.73 | −36.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 11 | −1.74 | −34.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stevenage · Away10 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.79 |
| M2 | Peterborough · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.90 |
| M3 | Huddersfield · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.53 | −2.44 |
| M4 | Leyton Orient · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −0.53 |
| M5 | Wrexham · Away7 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.60 | −1.13 |
| M6 | Charlton · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −2.17 |
| M7 | Mansfield · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −3.04 |
| M8 | Rotherham · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −3.10 |
| M9 | Stockport · Home1 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −4.15 |
| M10 | Bolton · Away5 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.40 | −3.75 |
| M11 | Crawley Town · Away12 Oct 2024 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.85 | −1.90 |
| M12 | Exeter · Home17 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −3.15 |
| M13 | Bristol Rovers · Away22 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −4.26 |
| M14 | Barnsley · Home26 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −5.32 |
| M15 | Burton · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −6.39 |
| M16 | Birmingham · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.49 | −3.90 |
| M17 | Blackpool · Home4 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −5.02 |
| M18 | Cambridge · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.11 | −6.13 |
| M19 | Wycombe · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.82 | −6.95 |
| M20 | Wigan · Away21 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.18 | −6.77 |
| M21 | Lincoln · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.10 | −4.67 |
| M22 | Northampton · Home29 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | −5.36 |
| M23 | Blackpool · Away1 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.29 | −5.07 |
| M24 | Leyton Orient · Away4 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.70 | −5.77 |
| M25 | Wrexham · Home16 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.09 | −3.68 |
| M26 | Charlton · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.73 | −4.40 |
| M27 | Stockport · Away28 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.61 | −5.01 |
| M28 | Mansfield · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | −3.09 |
| M29 | Rotherham · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.20 | −0.89 |
| M30 | Reading · Away11 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.99 |
| M31 | Bolton · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.00 |
| M32 | Huddersfield · Home18 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −3.08 |
| M33 | Stevenage · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −4.40 |
| M34 | Peterborough · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −5.40 |
| M35 | Bristol Rovers · Home4 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | −6.07 |
| M36 | Exeter · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −7.33 |
| M37 | Burton · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −8.69 |
| M38 | Birmingham · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.37 | −9.06 |
| M39 | Wycombe · Away1 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.53 | −8.53 |
| M40 | Cambridge · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −9.97 |
| M41 | Reading · Home8 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −11.03 |
| M42 | Lincoln · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | −10.73 |
| M43 | Wigan · Home18 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −11.78 |
| M44 | Northampton · Away21 Apr 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.73 | −12.51 |
| M45 | Barnsley · Away26 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.35 | −10.16 |
| M46 | Crawley Town · Home3 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −11.46 |
| Total | 33 | −11.46 | |||