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← League One 2025-26

AFC Wimbledon

Season 2025-26 · 46 matches played

Last 5LLLWL

Points

53

Points expected by the market

52.80

Gap

+0.20

Yield

−1.7%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 4 7 6.61 +0.39 +1.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 24 36 30.06 +5.94 +24.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 18 10 16.13 −6.13 −37.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Luton · Away1 Aug 2025 1 Aug 2025 L 0-1 6.20 0.69 0 −0.69 −0.69 −€1.00
M2 Lincoln · Home9 Aug 2025 9 Aug 2025 W 2-0 3.10 1.22 3 +1.78 +1.09 +€2.10
M3 Reading · Away16 Aug 2025 16 Aug 2025 W 2-1 3.01 1.23 3 +1.77 +2.86 +€2.01
M4 Cardiff · Home19 Aug 2025 19 Aug 2025 L 0-1 3.49 1.09 0 −1.09 +1.78 −€1.00
M5 Barnsley · Home23 Aug 2025 23 Aug 2025 W 2-0 3.17 1.16 3 +1.84 +3.61 +€2.17
M6 Bradford · Away30 Aug 2025 30 Aug 2025 L 2-3 4.46 0.90 0 −0.90 +2.71 −€1.00
M7 Bolton · Away6 Sep 2025 6 Sep 2025 L 0-3 6.90 0.63 0 −0.63 +2.08 −€1.00
M8 Rotherham · Home13 Sep 2025 13 Sep 2025 W 2-1 2.13 1.61 3 +1.39 +3.48 +€1.13
M9 Doncaster · Away20 Sep 2025 20 Sep 2025 W 2-1 4.04 0.98 3 +2.02 +5.50 +€3.04
M10 Wycombe · Home27 Sep 2025 27 Sep 2025 W 2-1 2.95 1.24 3 +1.76 +7.26 +€1.95
M11 Blackpool · Away4 Oct 2025 4 Oct 2025 W 2-0 3.55 1.08 3 +1.92 +9.18 +€2.55
M12 Port Vale · Home11 Oct 2025 11 Oct 2025 D 1-1 2.76 1.32 1 −0.32 +8.86 −€1.00
M13 Plymouth · Away18 Oct 2025 18 Oct 2025 W 2-1 3.62 1.05 3 +1.95 +10.81 +€2.62
M14 Burton · Home25 Oct 2025 25 Oct 2025 L 0-1 2.00 1.69 0 −1.69 +9.12 −€1.00
M15 Peterborough · Away8 Nov 2025 8 Nov 2025 L 0-5 2.92 1.25 0 −1.25 +7.87 −€1.00
M16 Wigan · Home22 Nov 2025 22 Nov 2025 L 1-2 3.01 1.25 0 −1.25 +6.62 −€1.00
M17 Huddersfield · Away29 Nov 2025 29 Nov 2025 D 3-3 4.29 0.92 1 +0.08 +6.70 −€1.00
M18 Exeter · Away9 Dec 2025 9 Dec 2025 L 0-1 3.57 1.20 0 −1.20 +5.50 −€1.00
M19 Mansfield · Home13 Dec 2025 13 Dec 2025 D 0-0 2.38 1.47 1 −0.47 +5.03 −€1.00
M20 Northampton · Away19 Dec 2025 19 Dec 2025 L 1-3 3.28 1.15 0 −1.15 +3.88 −€1.00
M21 Stevenage · Home26 Dec 2025 26 Dec 2025 D 0-0 2.97 1.27 1 −0.27 +3.61 −€1.00
M22 Exeter · Home29 Dec 2025 29 Dec 2025 L 0-1 2.42 1.46 0 −1.46 +2.15 −€1.00
M23 Leyton Orient · Away1 Jan 2026 1 Jan 2026 W 3-1 3.39 1.11 3 +1.89 +4.04 +€2.39
M24 Wycombe · Away4 Jan 2026 4 Jan 2026 L 0-2 4.37 0.92 0 −0.92 +3.12 −€1.00
M25 Doncaster · Home17 Jan 2026 17 Jan 2026 L 0-1 2.65 1.34 0 −1.34 +1.77 −€1.00
M26 Rotherham · Away24 Jan 2026 24 Jan 2026 D 1-1 2.98 1.24 1 −0.24 +1.53 −€1.00
M27 Bolton · Home31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 L 0-1 4.02 0.97 0 −0.97 +0.56 −€1.00
M28 Port Vale · Away3 Feb 2026 3 Feb 2026 W 1-0 3.41 1.13 3 +1.87 +2.44 +€2.41
M29 Reading · Home7 Feb 2026 7 Feb 2026 W 3-2 2.72 1.31 3 +1.69 +4.12 +€1.72
M30 Barnsley · Away14 Feb 2026 14 Feb 2026 D 3-3 3.47 1.07 1 −0.07 +4.05 −€1.00
M31 Cardiff · Away17 Feb 2026 17 Feb 2026 L 1-4 7.84 0.55 0 −0.55 +3.50 −€1.00
M32 Bradford · Home21 Feb 2026 21 Feb 2026 W 3-1 2.71 1.33 3 +1.67 +5.17 +€1.71
M33 Mansfield · Away28 Feb 2026 28 Feb 2026 D 2-2 3.38 1.12 1 −0.12 +5.06 −€1.00
M34 Northampton · Home8 Mar 2026 8 Mar 2026 W 1-0 1.94 1.71 3 +1.29 +6.34 +€0.94
M35 Blackpool · Home11 Mar 2026 11 Mar 2026 W 4-1 2.33 1.49 3 +1.51 +7.85 +€1.33
M36 Stevenage · Away14 Mar 2026 14 Mar 2026 L 0-1 3.88 1.01 0 −1.01 +6.84 −€1.00
M37 Leyton Orient · Home17 Mar 2026 17 Mar 2026 L 2-4 2.30 1.51 0 −1.51 +5.33 −€1.00
M38 Peterborough · Home21 Mar 2026 21 Mar 2026 D 1-1 2.09 1.60 1 −0.60 +4.73 −€1.00
M39 Stockport · Away28 Mar 2026 28 Mar 2026 L 0-3 5.87 0.69 0 −0.69 +4.04 −€1.00
M40 Lincoln · Away3 Apr 2026 3 Apr 2026 L 0-1 7.37 0.59 0 −0.59 +3.45 −€1.00
M41 Luton · Home6 Apr 2026 6 Apr 2026 L 0-3 3.50 1.07 0 −1.07 +2.38 −€1.00
M42 Burton · Away11 Apr 2026 11 Apr 2026 L 0-1 4.33 0.91 0 −0.91 +1.47 −€1.00
M43 Stockport · Home15 Apr 2026 15 Apr 2026 L 0-2 4.02 0.95 0 −0.95 +0.53 −€1.00
M44 Plymouth · Home18 Apr 2026 18 Apr 2026 L 1-3 3.67 1.02 0 −1.02 −0.49 −€1.00
M45 Wigan · Away25 Apr 2026 25 Apr 2026 W 1-0 3.17 1.16 3 +1.84 +1.35 +€2.17
M46 Huddersfield · Home2 May 2026 2 May 2026 L 0-4 3.13 1.15 0 −1.15 +0.20 −€1.00
Total 52.80 53 +0.20 −€0.76