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← League One 2025-26

Burton

Season 2025-26 · 46 matches played

Last 5DWDDD

Points

54

Points expected by the market

53.05

Gap

+0.95

Yield

−4.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 8 8.55 −0.55 −23.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 20 24 26.32 −2.32 −18.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 21 22 18.19 +3.81 +14.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Mansfield · Home2 Aug 2025 2 Aug 2025 W 2-1 3.31 1.13 3 +1.87 +1.87 +€2.31
M2 Barnsley · Away9 Aug 2025 9 Aug 2025 L 2-3 4.78 0.82 0 −0.82 +1.05 −€1.00
M3 Port Vale · Home16 Aug 2025 16 Aug 2025 D 0-0 3.28 1.14 1 −0.14 +0.91 −€1.00
M4 Stockport · Away23 Aug 2025 23 Aug 2025 L 1-2 6.16 0.68 0 −0.68 +0.23 −€1.00
M5 Luton · Home30 Aug 2025 30 Aug 2025 L 0-3 4.73 0.84 0 −0.84 −0.61 −€1.00
M6 Lincoln · Home13 Sep 2025 13 Sep 2025 L 0-1 2.86 1.27 0 −1.27 −1.89 −€1.00
M7 Huddersfield · Away20 Sep 2025 20 Sep 2025 D 0-0 4.55 0.86 1 +0.14 −1.75 −€1.00
M8 Plymouth · Home27 Sep 2025 27 Sep 2025 L 0-4 2.48 1.40 0 −1.40 −3.15 −€1.00
M9 Cardiff · Away30 Sep 2025 30 Sep 2025 W 1-0 7.21 0.59 3 +2.41 −0.74 +€6.21
M10 Doncaster · Away4 Oct 2025 4 Oct 2025 D 1-1 4.34 0.88 1 +0.12 −0.62 −€1.00
M11 Bolton · Home11 Oct 2025 11 Oct 2025 W 3-0 4.52 0.86 3 +2.14 +1.52 +€3.52
M12 Peterborough · Home18 Oct 2025 18 Oct 2025 L 0-1 2.32 1.48 0 −1.48 +0.04 −€1.00
M13 AFC Wimbledon · Away25 Oct 2025 25 Oct 2025 W 1-0 3.83 1.02 3 +1.98 +2.02 +€2.83
M14 Rotherham · Away4 Nov 2025 4 Nov 2025 D 2-2 2.95 1.23 1 −0.23 +1.79 −€1.00
M15 Bradford · Away8 Nov 2025 8 Nov 2025 W 2-1 4.74 0.84 3 +2.16 +3.95 +€3.74
M16 Blackpool · Home15 Nov 2025 15 Nov 2025 W 1-0 2.24 1.53 3 +1.47 +5.43 +€1.24
M17 Leyton Orient · Home29 Nov 2025 29 Nov 2025 L 0-4 2.67 1.33 0 −1.33 +4.10 −€1.00
M18 Wigan · Away2 Dec 2025 2 Dec 2025 L 0-1 4.82 0.85 0 −0.85 +3.26 −€1.00
M19 Wycombe · Home13 Dec 2025 13 Dec 2025 D 0-0 3.72 1.03 1 −0.03 +3.23 −€1.00
M20 Stevenage · Away20 Dec 2025 20 Dec 2025 D 2-2 3.65 1.07 1 −0.07 +3.16 −€1.00
M21 Northampton · Home26 Dec 2025 26 Dec 2025 W 5-1 2.20 1.56 3 +1.44 +4.61 +€1.20
M22 Wigan · Home29 Dec 2025 29 Dec 2025 L 0-2 2.58 1.38 0 −1.38 +3.22 −€1.00
M23 Reading · Away1 Jan 2026 1 Jan 2026 L 0-2 4.01 0.97 0 −0.97 +2.25 −€1.00
M24 Plymouth · Away4 Jan 2026 4 Jan 2026 L 0-3 4.35 0.91 0 −0.91 +1.35 −€1.00
M25 Huddersfield · Home17 Jan 2026 17 Jan 2026 W 3-1 3.76 1.02 3 +1.98 +3.32 +€2.76
M26 Lincoln · Away22 Jan 2026 22 Jan 2026 L 1-2 6.18 0.68 0 −0.68 +2.64 −€1.00
M27 Bolton · Away27 Jan 2026 27 Jan 2026 L 1-2 6.40 0.65 0 −0.65 +1.99 −€1.00
M28 Cardiff · Home31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 D 2-2 4.25 0.91 1 +0.09 +2.08 −€1.00
M29 Doncaster · Home3 Feb 2026 3 Feb 2026 L 1-2 2.93 1.24 0 −1.24 +0.84 −€1.00
M30 Port Vale · Away7 Feb 2026 7 Feb 2026 D 2-2 2.87 1.26 1 −0.26 +0.58 −€1.00
M31 Rotherham · Home17 Feb 2026 17 Feb 2026 W 1-0 2.05 1.64 3 +1.36 +1.94 +€1.05
M32 Luton · Away21 Feb 2026 21 Feb 2026 D 1-1 4.39 0.89 1 +0.11 +2.04 −€1.00
M33 Stockport · Home24 Feb 2026 24 Feb 2026 W 3-0 3.20 1.15 3 +1.85 +3.89 +€2.20
M34 Wycombe · Away28 Feb 2026 28 Feb 2026 L 0-3 4.52 0.88 0 −0.88 +3.02 −€1.00
M35 Exeter · Away3 Mar 2026 3 Mar 2026 D 1-1 3.03 1.20 1 −0.20 +2.82 −€1.00
M36 Stevenage · Home7 Mar 2026 7 Mar 2026 L 0-1 2.49 1.43 0 −1.43 +1.39 −€1.00
M37 Northampton · Away14 Mar 2026 14 Mar 2026 W 2-0 2.47 1.42 3 +1.58 +2.97 +€1.47
M38 Reading · Home17 Mar 2026 17 Mar 2026 L 1-2 2.19 1.56 0 −1.56 +1.40 −€1.00
M39 Bradford · Home21 Mar 2026 21 Mar 2026 W 2-1 2.81 1.29 3 +1.71 +3.12 +€1.81
M40 Blackpool · Away28 Mar 2026 28 Mar 2026 L 0-1 2.83 1.27 0 −1.27 +1.85 −€1.00
M41 Barnsley · Home3 Apr 2026 3 Apr 2026 D 1-1 2.09 1.61 1 −0.61 +1.24 −€1.00
M42 Mansfield · Away6 Apr 2026 6 Apr 2026 D 0-0 3.13 1.17 1 −0.17 +1.07 −€1.00
M43 AFC Wimbledon · Home11 Apr 2026 11 Apr 2026 W 1-0 1.79 1.82 3 +1.18 +2.25 +€0.79
M44 Peterborough · Away19 Apr 2026 19 Apr 2026 D 1-1 2.38 1.45 1 −0.45 +1.80 −€1.00
M45 Exeter · Home25 Apr 2026 25 Apr 2026 D 1-1 1.67 1.91 1 −0.91 +0.89 −€1.00
M46 Leyton Orient · Away2 May 2026 2 May 2026 D 2-2 4.04 0.94 1 +0.06 +0.95 −€1.00
Total 53.05 54 +0.95 −€1.87