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← League One 2025-26

Exeter

Season 2025-26 · 46 matches played

Last 5WDDDL

Points

49

Points expected by the market

50.47

Gap

−1.47

Yield

−14.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 3 4 4.92 −0.92 −27.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 25 32 30.87 +1.13 −6.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more 18 13 14.67 −1.67 −24.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Doncaster · Away2 Aug 2025 2 Aug 2025 L 0-1 4.65 0.86 0 −0.86 −0.86 −€1.00
M2 Blackpool · Home9 Aug 2025 9 Aug 2025 W 4-1 3.57 1.06 3 +1.94 +1.08 +€2.57
M3 Mansfield · Home16 Aug 2025 16 Aug 2025 L 1-2 2.76 1.30 0 −1.30 −0.22 −€1.00
M4 Wycombe · Away19 Aug 2025 19 Aug 2025 W 1-0 5.06 0.80 3 +2.20 +1.99 +€4.06
M5 Northampton · Away23 Aug 2025 23 Aug 2025 L 0-2 3.24 1.16 0 −1.16 +0.83 −€1.00
M6 Peterborough · Home30 Aug 2025 30 Aug 2025 W 3-0 2.19 1.55 3 +1.45 +2.28 +€1.19
M7 Rotherham · Away6 Sep 2025 6 Sep 2025 L 0-1 2.94 1.24 0 −1.24 +1.04 −€1.00
M8 Port Vale · Home13 Sep 2025 13 Sep 2025 L 0-2 2.87 1.26 0 −1.26 −0.22 −€1.00
M9 Stevenage · Away20 Sep 2025 20 Sep 2025 L 1-2 5.08 0.82 0 −0.82 −1.04 −€1.00
M10 Huddersfield · Home27 Sep 2025 27 Sep 2025 L 0-1 3.21 1.15 0 −1.15 −2.19 −€1.00
M11 Lincoln · Away4 Oct 2025 4 Oct 2025 W 1-0 4.95 0.81 3 +2.19 0.00 +€3.95
M12 Reading · Home11 Oct 2025 11 Oct 2025 D 1-1 2.97 1.21 1 −0.21 −0.21 −€1.00
M13 Stockport · Away18 Oct 2025 18 Oct 2025 L 0-1 7.00 0.61 0 −0.61 −0.82 −€1.00
M14 Plymouth · Home23 Oct 2025 23 Oct 2025 W 2-0 2.90 1.25 3 +1.75 +0.93 +€1.90
M15 Wigan · Home8 Nov 2025 8 Nov 2025 D 1-1 2.87 1.27 1 −0.27 +0.66 −€1.00
M16 Leyton Orient · Away15 Nov 2025 15 Nov 2025 L 1-2 4.45 0.88 0 −0.88 −0.22 −€1.00
M17 Bradford · Away29 Nov 2025 29 Nov 2025 L 0-1 5.28 0.77 0 −0.77 −0.99 −€1.00
M18 AFC Wimbledon · Home9 Dec 2025 9 Dec 2025 W 1-0 2.70 1.48 3 +1.52 +0.53 +€1.70
M19 Bolton · Away13 Dec 2025 13 Dec 2025 L 1-2 7.18 0.60 0 −0.60 −0.07 −€1.00
M20 Barnsley · Home20 Dec 2025 20 Dec 2025 W 3-0 2.93 1.23 3 +1.77 +1.70 +€1.93
M21 Cardiff · Away26 Dec 2025 26 Dec 2025 L 0-1 5.31 0.75 0 −0.75 +0.95 −€1.00
M22 AFC Wimbledon · Away29 Dec 2025 29 Dec 2025 W 1-0 3.00 1.24 3 +1.76 +2.71 +€2.00
M23 Luton · Home1 Jan 2026 1 Jan 2026 W 1-0 3.31 1.13 3 +1.87 +4.58 +€2.31
M24 Huddersfield · Away4 Jan 2026 4 Jan 2026 D 2-2 5.56 0.75 1 +0.25 +4.83 −€1.00
M25 Stevenage · Home17 Jan 2026 17 Jan 2026 W 3-0 2.50 1.43 3 +1.57 +6.40 +€1.50
M26 Port Vale · Away24 Jan 2026 24 Jan 2026 W 3-1 3.10 1.20 3 +1.80 +8.21 +€2.10
M27 Reading · Away27 Jan 2026 27 Jan 2026 D 2-2 3.36 1.12 1 −0.12 +8.09 −€1.00
M28 Rotherham · Home31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 L 0-4 1.99 1.69 0 −1.69 +6.40 −€1.00
M29 Mansfield · Away7 Feb 2026 7 Feb 2026 D 0-0 3.18 1.16 1 −0.16 +6.24 −€1.00
M30 Northampton · Home14 Feb 2026 14 Feb 2026 D 0-0 1.99 1.69 1 −0.69 +5.56 −€1.00
M31 Wycombe · Home17 Feb 2026 17 Feb 2026 D 1-1 3.13 1.18 1 −0.18 +5.37 −€1.00
M32 Peterborough · Away21 Feb 2026 21 Feb 2026 D 3-3 2.86 1.24 1 −0.24 +5.13 −€1.00
M33 Bolton · Home28 Feb 2026 28 Feb 2026 L 1-5 3.31 1.12 0 −1.12 +4.02 −€1.00
M34 Burton · Home3 Mar 2026 3 Mar 2026 D 1-1 2.24 1.52 1 −0.52 +3.49 −€1.00
M35 Barnsley · Away7 Mar 2026 7 Mar 2026 L 1-2 3.24 1.12 0 −1.12 +2.37 −€1.00
M36 Lincoln · Home10 Mar 2026 10 Mar 2026 L 0-1 4.62 0.86 0 −0.86 +1.52 −€1.00
M37 Cardiff · Home14 Mar 2026 14 Mar 2026 L 0-4 4.29 0.90 0 −0.90 +0.62 −€1.00
M38 Luton · Away17 Mar 2026 17 Mar 2026 L 2-3 4.97 0.79 0 −0.79 −0.17 −€1.00
M39 Wigan · Away21 Mar 2026 21 Mar 2026 L 0-2 3.28 1.15 0 −1.15 −1.32 −€1.00
M40 Leyton Orient · Home28 Mar 2026 28 Mar 2026 D 0-0 2.41 1.43 1 −0.43 −1.75 −€1.00
M41 Blackpool · Away3 Apr 2026 3 Apr 2026 L 0-1 3.78 1.00 0 −1.00 −2.75 −€1.00
M42 Doncaster · Home6 Apr 2026 6 Apr 2026 W 3-0 3.06 1.19 3 +1.81 −0.94 +€2.06
M43 Plymouth · Away11 Apr 2026 11 Apr 2026 D 2-2 6.43 0.63 1 +0.37 −0.57 −€1.00
M44 Stockport · Home18 Apr 2026 18 Apr 2026 D 3-3 3.98 0.94 1 +0.06 −0.51 −€1.00
M45 Burton · Away25 Apr 2026 25 Apr 2026 D 1-1 4.50 0.86 1 +0.14 −0.36 −€1.00
M46 Bradford · Home2 May 2026 2 May 2026 L 1-2 3.34 1.10 0 −1.10 −1.47 −€1.00
Total 50.47 49 −1.47 −€6.73