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← League One 2025-26

Lincoln

Season 2025-26 · 46 matches played

Last 5WDWWW

Points

103

Points expected by the market

73.45

Gap

+29.55

Yield

+40.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 5 15 11.02 +3.98 +40.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 17 43 29.78 +13.22 +55.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 22 44 30.69 +13.31 +41.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 2 1 1.95 −0.95 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Reading · Home2 Aug 2025 2 Aug 2025 W 2-0 1.97 1.70 3 +1.30 +1.30 +€0.97
M2 AFC Wimbledon · Away9 Aug 2025 9 Aug 2025 L 0-2 2.47 1.45 0 −1.45 −0.16 −€1.00
M3 Plymouth · Home16 Aug 2025 16 Aug 2025 W 3-2 1.96 1.71 3 +1.29 +1.14 +€0.96
M4 Northampton · Away19 Aug 2025 19 Aug 2025 W 1-0 2.34 1.49 3 +1.51 +2.64 +€1.34
M5 Bolton · Away23 Aug 2025 23 Aug 2025 D 1-1 4.51 0.88 1 +0.12 +2.76 −€1.00
M6 Mansfield · Home30 Aug 2025 30 Aug 2025 D 1-1 2.17 1.58 1 −0.58 +2.19 −€1.00
M7 Wigan · Home6 Sep 2025 6 Sep 2025 D 2-2 2.32 1.51 1 −0.51 +1.68 −€1.00
M8 Burton · Away13 Sep 2025 13 Sep 2025 W 1-0 2.45 1.44 3 +1.56 +3.24 +€1.45
M9 Luton · Home20 Sep 2025 20 Sep 2025 W 3-1 3.37 1.11 3 +1.89 +5.13 +€2.37
M10 Peterborough · Away27 Sep 2025 27 Sep 2025 W 3-0 2.39 1.45 3 +1.55 +6.68 +€1.39
M11 Exeter · Home4 Oct 2025 4 Oct 2025 L 0-1 1.64 1.95 0 −1.95 +4.72 −€1.00
M12 Stevenage · Home18 Oct 2025 18 Oct 2025 W 1-0 2.34 1.49 3 +1.51 +6.23 +€1.34
M13 Leyton Orient · Away25 Oct 2025 25 Oct 2025 L 0-1 2.65 1.34 0 −1.34 +4.89 −€1.00
M14 Bradford · Away28 Oct 2025 28 Oct 2025 D 0-0 3.26 1.14 1 −0.14 +4.74 −€1.00
M15 Rotherham · Away8 Nov 2025 8 Nov 2025 L 0-3 2.10 1.62 0 −1.62 +3.13 −€1.00
M16 Doncaster · Home15 Nov 2025 15 Nov 2025 W 2-1 1.97 1.70 3 +1.30 +4.43 +€0.97
M17 Wycombe · Away22 Nov 2025 22 Nov 2025 L 2-3 3.54 1.07 0 −1.07 +3.37 −€1.00
M18 Port Vale · Home29 Nov 2025 29 Nov 2025 W 1-0 1.93 1.73 3 +1.27 +4.64 +€0.93
M19 Barnsley · Home9 Dec 2025 9 Dec 2025 W 3-1 2.10 1.63 3 +1.37 +6.00 +€1.10
M20 Blackpool · Away13 Dec 2025 13 Dec 2025 D 2-2 2.33 1.49 1 −0.49 +5.51 −€1.00
M21 Cardiff · Home20 Dec 2025 20 Dec 2025 W 2-1 2.29 1.50 3 +1.50 +7.02 +€1.29
M22 Stockport · Away26 Dec 2025 26 Dec 2025 W 2-1 3.12 1.18 3 +1.82 +8.84 +€2.12
M23 Barnsley · Away29 Dec 2025 29 Dec 2025 W 2-0 2.55 1.37 3 +1.63 +10.46 +€1.55
M24 Huddersfield · Home1 Jan 2026 1 Jan 2026 D 1-1 2.45 1.43 1 −0.43 +10.03 −€1.00
M25 Peterborough · Home4 Jan 2026 4 Jan 2026 W 5-2 2.20 1.55 3 +1.45 +11.48 +€1.20
M26 Luton · Away17 Jan 2026 17 Jan 2026 D 2-2 2.99 1.24 1 −0.24 +11.25 −€1.00
M27 Burton · Home22 Jan 2026 22 Jan 2026 W 2-1 1.50 2.10 3 +0.90 +12.15 +€0.50
M28 Bradford · Home27 Jan 2026 27 Jan 2026 W 3-0 1.94 1.73 3 +1.27 +13.43 +€0.94
M29 Wigan · Away31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 W 1-0 2.16 1.59 3 +1.41 +14.84 +€1.16
M30 Plymouth · Away7 Feb 2026 7 Feb 2026 W 4-1 2.41 1.44 3 +1.56 +16.39 +€1.41
M31 Bolton · Home14 Feb 2026 14 Feb 2026 D 1-1 2.32 1.48 1 −0.48 +15.91 −€1.00
M32 Northampton · Home17 Feb 2026 17 Feb 2026 W 4-0 1.37 2.25 3 +0.75 +16.66 +€0.37
M33 Mansfield · Away21 Feb 2026 21 Feb 2026 W 2-0 2.04 1.64 3 +1.36 +18.02 +€1.04
M34 Blackpool · Home28 Feb 2026 28 Feb 2026 W 4-0 1.43 2.16 3 +0.84 +18.85 +€0.43
M35 Cardiff · Away7 Mar 2026 7 Mar 2026 W 2-0 3.48 1.08 3 +1.92 +20.77 +€2.48
M36 Exeter · Away10 Mar 2026 10 Mar 2026 W 1-0 1.70 1.90 3 +1.10 +21.87 +€0.70
M37 Stockport · Home14 Mar 2026 14 Mar 2026 W 3-1 1.89 1.75 3 +1.25 +23.13 +€0.89
M38 Huddersfield · Away17 Mar 2026 17 Mar 2026 D 2-2 2.34 1.48 1 −0.48 +22.65 −€1.00
M39 Rotherham · Home21 Mar 2026 21 Mar 2026 W 3-0 1.35 2.27 3 +0.73 +23.38 +€0.35
M40 AFC Wimbledon · Home3 Apr 2026 3 Apr 2026 W 1-0 1.41 2.19 3 +0.81 +24.18 +€0.41
M41 Reading · Away6 Apr 2026 6 Apr 2026 W 2-1 1.87 1.76 3 +1.24 +25.42 +€0.87
M42 Leyton Orient · Home11 Apr 2026 11 Apr 2026 W 2-1 1.44 2.15 3 +0.85 +26.27 +€0.44
M43 Stevenage · Away18 Apr 2026 18 Apr 2026 D 2-2 2.40 1.47 1 −0.47 +25.80 −€1.00
M44 Doncaster · Away21 Apr 2026 21 Apr 2026 W 2-0 2.22 1.54 3 +1.46 +27.26 +€1.22
M45 Wycombe · Home25 Apr 2026 25 Apr 2026 W 4-3 1.79 1.80 3 +1.20 +28.46 +€0.79
M46 Port Vale · Away2 May 2026 2 May 2026 W 2-0 1.68 1.91 3 +1.09 +29.55 +€0.68
Total 73.45 103 +29.55 +€18.66