Points
17Points expected by the market
18.45Gap
−1.45Yield
−1.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.92 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 5 | −7.07 | −69.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 9 | +4.71 | +140.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.92 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −2.22 | −46.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.65 | +155.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 0 | −4.85 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.06 | +133.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Reading · Away15 Aug 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.50 |
| M2 | Notts County · Home22 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.08 | +0.42 |
| M3 | Mansfield · Away30 Aug 2026 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.56 | −1.13 |
| M4 | Stockport · Home2 Sep 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +0.51 |
| M5 | Leyton Orient · Home5 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.97 | −0.46 |
| M6 | Stevenage · Away10 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −2.07 |
| M7 | Bradford · Home19 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | −3.69 |
| M8 | Wycombe · Away10 Oct 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −2.12 |
| M9 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away17 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −3.81 |
| M10 | Barnsley · Home20 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | −2.89 |
| M11 | Leicester · Home24 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | −1.45 |
| Total | 17 | −1.45 | |||