Points
21Points expected by the market
19.78Gap
+1.22Yield
−8.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +3.16 | +23.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.94 | −54.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 16 | +4.97 | +44.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.23 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.81 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.71 | −42.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Luton · Home15 Aug 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.23 |
| M2 | AFC Wimbledon · Away22 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | −1.68 |
| M3 | Mansfield · Home2 Sep 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −0.33 |
| M4 | Blackpool · Home5 Sep 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +0.82 |
| M5 | Cambridge · Away12 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −0.57 |
| M6 | Notts County · Home19 Sep 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +0.56 |
| M7 | Wycombe · Away26 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | +0.18 |
| M8 | Bradford · Home3 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −0.53 |
| M9 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away10 Oct 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +0.99 |
| M10 | Wigan · Away17 Oct 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.81 | −0.82 |
| M11 | Leyton Orient · Home21 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +0.19 |
| M12 | Barnsley · Home24 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +1.22 |
| Total | 21 | +1.22 | |||