Points
45Points expected by the market
46.53Gap
−1.53Yield
+6.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 8 | −5.31 | −53.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 20 | −4.13 | −25.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 17 | +7.91 | +116.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 8 | −5.31 | −53.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +3.08 | +41.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 4 | −7.20 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 17 | +7.91 | +116.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bradford · Away3 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.13 |
| M2 | Newport County · Home10 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.14 |
| M3 | Colchester · Away17 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +1.84 |
| M4 | Scunthorpe · Home20 Aug 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.49 | +3.34 |
| M5 | Oldham · Home24 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.62 | +1.72 |
| M6 | Port Vale · Away31 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | +0.67 |
| M7 | Forest Green · Home7 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −0.81 |
| M8 | Crewe · Away14 Sep 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.20 | +1.39 |
| M9 | Mansfield · Away17 Sep 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +3.43 |
| M10 | Swindon · Home21 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | +2.34 |
| M11 | Stevenage · Away28 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +2.11 |
| M12 | Macclesfield · Home5 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.73 | +1.37 |
| M13 | Salford · Away12 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | +0.11 |
| M14 | Exeter · Home19 Oct 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.95 |
| M15 | Grimsby · Home22 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | +1.37 |
| M16 | Northampton · Away26 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +0.11 |
| M17 | Crawley Town · Home2 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +1.39 |
| M18 | Walsall · Away16 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +0.17 |
| M19 | Carlisle · Away23 Nov 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.09 |
| M20 | Plymouth · Home7 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.57 |
| M21 | Cheltenham · Away14 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +1.45 |
| M22 | Leyton Orient · Home21 Dec 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.59 | −0.14 |
| M23 | Swindon · Away26 Dec 2019 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.99 |
| M24 | Morecambe · Home29 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +0.19 |
| M25 | Mansfield · Home1 Jan 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.06 |
| M26 | Macclesfield · Away4 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −2.49 |
| M27 | Exeter · Away11 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −3.24 |
| M28 | Stevenage · Home18 Jan 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.65 | −4.90 |
| M29 | Morecambe · Away25 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −5.15 |
| M30 | Salford · Home28 Jan 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.28 | −6.43 |
| M31 | Colchester · Home1 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | −4.53 |
| M32 | Newport County · Away8 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | −2.49 |
| M33 | Scunthorpe · Away11 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.06 | −0.44 |
| M34 | Bradford · Home15 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.13 |
| M35 | Plymouth · Away22 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | +1.23 |
| M36 | Carlisle · Home29 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −0.36 |
| M37 | Leyton Orient · Away7 Mar 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.53 |
| Total | 45 | −1.53 | |||