Points
69Points expected by the market
61.86Gap
+7.14Yield
+3.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +3.31 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 37 | +4.95 | +14.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 20 | −1.12 | −20.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +3.31 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 26 | +4.00 | +19.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.42 | −26.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.95 | +6.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 16 | −0.70 | −19.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Plymouth · Home3 Aug 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.43 |
| M2 | Oldham · Away10 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.15 |
| M3 | Walsall · Home17 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.48 |
| M4 | Crawley Town · Away20 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +3.09 |
| M5 | Newport County · Away24 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | +1.79 |
| M6 | Bradford · Home31 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.14 |
| M7 | Grimsby · Away7 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +4.71 |
| M8 | Cambridge · Home14 Sep 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.95 | +2.76 |
| M9 | Leyton Orient · Away17 Sep 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +4.18 |
| M10 | Salford · Home21 Sep 2019 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +5.35 |
| M11 | Cheltenham · Away28 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +4.87 |
| M12 | Exeter · Home5 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +4.42 |
| M13 | Carlisle · Away12 Oct 2019 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.45 | +5.87 |
| M14 | Swindon · Home19 Oct 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +7.33 |
| M15 | Colchester · Home22 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | +6.64 |
| M16 | Port Vale · Home2 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | +4.88 |
| M17 | Northampton · Away16 Nov 2019 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.43 | +3.45 |
| M18 | Morecambe · Home23 Nov 2019 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +4.30 |
| M19 | Forest Green · Away26 Nov 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | +3.89 |
| M20 | Mansfield · Home14 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | +2.97 |
| M21 | Stevenage · Away21 Dec 2019 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +4.33 |
| M22 | Salford · Away26 Dec 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.60 | +2.74 |
| M23 | Scunthorpe · Home29 Dec 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +3.90 |
| M24 | Carlisle · Home1 Jan 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +4.76 |
| M25 | Swindon · Away11 Jan 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.30 | +3.46 |
| M26 | Cheltenham · Home18 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +4.60 |
| M27 | Macclesfield · Away21 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | +3.70 |
| M28 | Scunthorpe · Away25 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | +3.26 |
| M29 | Leyton Orient · Home28 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +4.28 |
| M30 | Walsall · Away1 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +5.71 |
| M31 | Oldham · Home8 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +6.84 |
| M32 | Crawley Town · Home11 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +7.86 |
| M33 | Plymouth · Away15 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +6.54 |
| M34 | Macclesfield · Home22 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +7.35 |
| M35 | Morecambe · Away29 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +6.58 |
| M36 | Exeter · Away3 Mar 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +6.35 |
| M37 | Stevenage · Home7 Mar 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +7.14 |
| Total | 69 | +7.14 | |||