Points
36Points expected by the market
38.39Gap
−2.39Yield
−41.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 24 | +4.89 | +15.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 12 | −7.28 | −80.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 20 | +4.55 | +17.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.87 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.34 | +5.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 8 | −5.41 | −73.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Exeter · Away3 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.89 |
| M2 | Leyton Orient · Home10 Aug 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.77 |
| M3 | Northampton · Away17 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | +2.84 |
| M4 | Morecambe · Home20 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +1.31 |
| M5 | Scunthorpe · Home24 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +2.78 |
| M6 | Stevenage · Away31 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | +2.50 |
| M7 | Crawley Town · Home7 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +2.20 |
| M8 | Swindon · Away14 Sep 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.63 | +1.58 |
| M9 | Newport County · Home17 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +1.46 |
| M10 | Grimsby · Away21 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.51 |
| M11 | Colchester · Home28 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.34 |
| M12 | Cambridge · Away5 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.34 |
| M13 | Port Vale · Home12 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +2.11 |
| M14 | Oldham · Away19 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +3.93 |
| M15 | Cheltenham · Away22 Oct 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.99 | +2.94 |
| M16 | Carlisle · Away2 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +1.74 |
| M17 | Mansfield · Home16 Nov 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | +1.70 |
| M18 | Salford · Away23 Nov 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.14 | +1.84 |
| M19 | Bradford · Home30 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | +1.78 |
| M20 | Walsall · Away14 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.20 | +1.98 |
| M21 | Grimsby · Home26 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +1.73 |
| M22 | Forest Green · Away29 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | +0.99 |
| M23 | Port Vale · Away1 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.10 | +1.09 |
| M24 | Cambridge · Home4 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +2.81 |
| M25 | Oldham · Home11 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +2.40 |
| M26 | Colchester · Away18 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.68 | +1.72 |
| M27 | Crewe · Home21 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | +1.88 |
| M28 | Forest Green · Home25 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +3.73 |
| M29 | Newport County · Away28 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | +2.87 |
| M30 | Northampton · Home1 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +1.72 |
| M31 | Leyton Orient · Away8 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | +1.87 |
| M32 | Morecambe · Away11 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.01 | +0.86 |
| M33 | Exeter · Home15 Feb 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.08 |
| M34 | Plymouth · Home18 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.03 |
| M35 | Crewe · Away22 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −0.63 |
| M36 | Salford · Home29 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.67 |
| M37 | Plymouth · Away7 Mar 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −2.39 |
| Total | 36 | −2.39 | |||