Points
38Points expected by the market
52.37Gap
−14.37Yield
−37.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 11 | −10.09 | −66.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 23 | −2.42 | −18.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.86 | −37.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 10 | −9.41 | −63.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −1.92 | −17.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.68 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 16 | −0.49 | −18.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.86 | −37.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Newport County · Away3 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.28 |
| M2 | Morecambe · Home10 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.02 | −1.30 |
| M3 | Carlisle · Away17 Aug 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +0.24 |
| M4 | Leyton Orient · Home20 Aug 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.74 | −1.50 |
| M5 | Stevenage · Home24 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | −2.39 |
| M6 | Exeter · Away31 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −3.60 |
| M7 | Scunthorpe · Home7 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −2.24 |
| M8 | Crawley Town · Away14 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −3.64 |
| M9 | Cambridge · Home17 Sep 2019 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.77 | −5.40 |
| M10 | Port Vale · Away21 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | −5.70 |
| M11 | Plymouth · Home28 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −7.19 |
| M12 | Grimsby · Away5 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −5.50 |
| M13 | Oldham · Home12 Oct 2019 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.24 | −4.26 |
| M14 | Forest Green · Away19 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | −4.62 |
| M15 | Salford · Home22 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −6.30 |
| M16 | Walsall · Away26 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | −4.85 |
| M17 | Colchester · Home2 Nov 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −6.36 |
| M18 | Macclesfield · Away16 Nov 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −7.04 |
| M19 | Swindon · Away23 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −8.01 |
| M20 | Cheltenham · Home7 Dec 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −9.61 |
| M21 | Crewe · Away14 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −9.46 |
| M22 | Northampton · Home21 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −10.02 |
| M23 | Port Vale · Home26 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.66 | −10.68 |
| M24 | Bradford · Away29 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −11.75 |
| M25 | Cambridge · Away1 Jan 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.54 | −10.22 |
| M26 | Grimsby · Home4 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.83 | −12.05 |
| M27 | Forest Green · Home11 Jan 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.49 | −13.54 |
| M28 | Plymouth · Away18 Jan 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −14.50 |
| M29 | Bradford · Home25 Jan 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −12.98 |
| M30 | Oldham · Away28 Jan 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −14.49 |
| M31 | Carlisle · Home1 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | −15.30 |
| M32 | Morecambe · Away8 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −15.71 |
| M33 | Leyton Orient · Away11 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −16.96 |
| M34 | Newport County · Home15 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −15.35 |
| M35 | Cheltenham · Away22 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −16.34 |
| M36 | Northampton · Away7 Mar 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | −14.37 |
| Total | 38 | −14.37 | |||