Points
40Points expected by the market
50.29Gap
−10.29Yield
−33.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 8 | −5.42 | −51.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 30 | −2.20 | −13.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.68 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 8 | −5.42 | −51.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +0.17 | −12.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 14 | −2.37 | −14.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.68 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Swindon · Home3 Aug 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −1.57 |
| M2 | Cheltenham · Away10 Aug 2019 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.91 |
| M3 | Crawley Town · Home17 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −3.40 |
| M4 | Cambridge · Away20 Aug 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −4.59 |
| M5 | Macclesfield · Away24 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −5.78 |
| M6 | Carlisle · Home31 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −7.34 |
| M7 | Mansfield · Away7 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −8.43 |
| M8 | Morecambe · Home14 Sep 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −7.29 |
| M9 | Oldham · Home17 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.70 | −7.99 |
| M10 | Walsall · Away21 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −9.22 |
| M11 | Bradford · Home28 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −9.54 |
| M12 | Plymouth · Away5 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | −9.52 |
| M13 | Northampton · Home12 Oct 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −8.05 |
| M14 | Newport County · Away19 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −9.17 |
| M15 | Exeter · Home22 Oct 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −7.76 |
| M16 | Salford · Away26 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −8.15 |
| M17 | Stevenage · Home2 Nov 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | −8.87 |
| M18 | Leyton Orient · Away16 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −7.18 |
| M19 | Port Vale · Home23 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −5.65 |
| M20 | Forest Green · Away7 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −3.79 |
| M21 | Colchester · Home14 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | −4.22 |
| M22 | Grimsby · Away21 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −2.66 |
| M23 | Walsall · Home26 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −4.29 |
| M24 | Crewe · Away29 Dec 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −5.21 |
| M25 | Oldham · Away1 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −3.54 |
| M26 | Plymouth · Home4 Jan 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −4.91 |
| M27 | Newport County · Home11 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −6.46 |
| M28 | Bradford · Away18 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.04 | −6.49 |
| M29 | Crewe · Home25 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | −6.79 |
| M30 | Northampton · Away28 Jan 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −8.04 |
| M31 | Crawley Town · Away1 Feb 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −9.28 |
| M32 | Cheltenham · Home8 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −7.73 |
| M33 | Cambridge · Home11 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.79 | −9.52 |
| M34 | Forest Green · Home22 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −7.88 |
| M35 | Port Vale · Away29 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | −8.06 |
| M36 | Swindon · Away3 Mar 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.66 | −8.72 |
| M37 | Grimsby · Home7 Mar 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −10.29 |
| Total | 40 | −10.29 | |||