Points
50Points expected by the market
59.37Gap
−9.37Yield
−14.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 4 | −5.83 | −64.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 32 | 39 | −2.72 | −8.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | −0.82 | −1.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 4 | −4.24 | −57.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 25 | +0.98 | −3.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.59 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 14 | −3.70 | −15.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | −0.82 | −1.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stevenage · Home12 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −0.56 |
| M2 | Newport County · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.63 |
| M3 | Colchester · Home26 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −2.07 |
| M4 | Carlisle · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −3.31 |
| M5 | Leyton Orient · Home10 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −3.75 |
| M6 | Harrogate · Away17 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −4.80 |
| M7 | Bolton · Home20 Oct 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.58 | −5.38 |
| M8 | Walsall · Home24 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | −5.64 |
| M9 | Mansfield · Away27 Oct 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.81 | −3.83 |
| M10 | Bradford · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −2.20 |
| M11 | Grimsby · Away3 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −3.63 |
| M12 | Cambridge · Away14 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −3.78 |
| M13 | Forest Green · Home21 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | −3.95 |
| M14 | Oldham · Home24 Nov 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.66 | −5.61 |
| M15 | Morecambe · Away1 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −7.05 |
| M16 | Salford · Home5 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −8.33 |
| M17 | Crawley Town · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.16 | −9.50 |
| M18 | Scunthorpe · Away15 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −10.78 |
| M19 | Cheltenham · Home19 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −8.92 |
| M20 | Port Vale · Away26 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −7.13 |
| M21 | Tranmere · Home29 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −7.65 |
| M22 | Southend · Away9 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | −9.24 |
| M23 | Scunthorpe · Home16 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −7.86 |
| M24 | Bradford · Away30 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −9.02 |
| M25 | Cambridge · Home6 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −10.47 |
| M26 | Salford · Away16 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −11.39 |
| M27 | Morecambe · Home20 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −12.73 |
| M28 | Oldham · Away23 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −11.01 |
| M29 | Bolton · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −12.02 |
| M30 | Harrogate · Home2 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −13.28 |
| M31 | Mansfield · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −11.48 |
| M32 | Walsall · Away12 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −9.74 |
| M33 | Cheltenham · Away16 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.07 | −7.67 |
| M34 | Crawley Town · Home20 Mar 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.53 | −6.15 |
| M35 | Grimsby · Home23 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | −7.84 |
| M36 | Stevenage · Away27 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −9.08 |
| M37 | Newport County · Home2 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | −7.36 |
| M38 | Colchester · Away5 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −7.70 |
| M39 | Carlisle · Home10 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | −7.91 |
| M40 | Exeter · Home13 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | −6.12 |
| M41 | Leyton Orient · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −7.43 |
| M42 | Port Vale · Home20 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −8.86 |
| M43 | Tranmere · Away24 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −9.89 |
| M44 | Forest Green · Away27 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −7.99 |
| M45 | Southend · Home1 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −9.67 |
| M46 | Exeter · Away8 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.30 | −9.37 |
| Total | 50 | −9.37 | |||