← League Two 2020-21

Bolton

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5LWWLW

Points

Points expected by the market

66.37

Gap

+12.63

Yield

+21.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	16	36	27.87	+8.13	+32.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	26	37	34.95	+2.05	+14.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	6	3.55	+2.45	+20.2%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	12	27	20.90	+6.10	+28.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	11	15.18	−4.18	−22.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	4	9	6.97	+2.03	+44.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	26	19.78	+6.22	+41.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	6	3.55	+2.45	+20.2%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Forest Green · Home12 Sep 2020	12 Sep 2020	L 0-1	2.32	1.50	0	−1.50	−1.50	−€1.00
M2	Colchester · Away19 Sep 2020	19 Sep 2020	L 0-2	3.21	1.16	0	−1.16	−2.67	−€1.00
M3	Newport County · Home26 Sep 2020	26 Sep 2020	L 0-2	2.97	1.24	0	−1.24	−3.91	−€1.00
M4	Harrogate · Away3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	W 2-1	3.34	1.11	3	+1.89	−2.02	+€2.34
M5	Grimsby · Home10 Oct 2020	10 Oct 2020	D 0-0	1.95	1.71	1	−0.71	−2.73	−€1.00
M6	Oldham · Home17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	L 1-2	2.23	1.54	0	−1.54	−4.26	−€1.00
M7	Barrow · Away20 Oct 2020	20 Oct 2020	D 3-3	3.28	1.14	1	−0.14	−4.40	−€1.00
M8	Cambridge · Away24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	D 1-1	4.20	0.93	1	+0.07	−4.33	−€1.00
M9	Bradford · Home27 Oct 2020	27 Oct 2020	W 1-0	2.81	1.28	3	+1.72	−2.61	+€1.81
M10	Leyton Orient · Away31 Oct 2020	31 Oct 2020	L 0-4	3.43	1.11	0	−1.11	−3.72	−€1.00
M11	Mansfield · Home3 Nov 2020	3 Nov 2020	D 1-1	2.70	1.33	1	−0.33	−4.05	−€1.00
M12	Salford · Home13 Nov 2020	13 Nov 2020	W 2-0	3.41	1.09	3	+1.91	−2.15	+€2.41
M13	Stevenage · Away21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	W 2-1	2.57	1.40	3	+1.60	−0.55	+€1.57
M14	Scunthorpe · Away24 Nov 2020	24 Nov 2020	W 1-0	2.24	1.55	3	+1.45	+0.90	+€1.24
M15	Southend · Home28 Nov 2020	28 Nov 2020	W 3-0	1.56	2.05	3	+0.95	+1.86	+€0.56
M16	Port Vale · Home5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	L 3-6	2.40	1.46	0	−1.46	+0.39	−€1.00
M17	Walsall · Away12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	L 1-2	3.49	1.10	0	−1.10	−0.70	−€1.00
M18	Cheltenham · Away15 Dec 2020	15 Dec 2020	W 1-0	4.81	0.84	3	+2.16	+1.46	+€3.81
M19	Tranmere · Home19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	L 0-3	2.39	1.48	0	−1.48	−0.01	−€1.00
M20	Carlisle · Away26 Dec 2020	26 Dec 2020	D 3-3	4.60	0.88	1	+0.12	+0.11	−€1.00
M21	Crawley Town · Home2 Jan 2021	2 Jan 2021	L 0-1	2.45	1.42	0	−1.42	−1.32	−€1.00
M22	Exeter · Away12 Jan 2021	12 Jan 2021	D 1-1	4.27	0.90	1	+0.10	−1.22	−€1.00
M23	Cheltenham · Home16 Jan 2021	16 Jan 2021	D 1-1	2.72	1.31	1	−0.31	−1.53	−€1.00
M24	Tranmere · Away23 Jan 2021	23 Jan 2021	L 1-2	2.43	1.44	0	−1.44	−2.97	−€1.00
M25	Leyton Orient · Home30 Jan 2021	30 Jan 2021	W 2-0	2.11	1.60	3	+1.40	−1.58	+€1.11
M26	Morecambe · Home9 Feb 2021	9 Feb 2021	D 1-1	2.19	1.57	1	−0.57	−2.15	−€1.00
M27	Stevenage · Home13 Feb 2021	13 Feb 2021	W 1-0	2.07	1.64	3	+1.36	−0.78	+€1.07
M28	Mansfield · Away17 Feb 2021	17 Feb 2021	W 3-2	3.07	1.20	3	+1.80	+1.01	+€2.07
M29	Southend · Away20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	W 1-0	2.07	1.64	3	+1.36	+2.37	+€1.07
M30	Scunthorpe · Home23 Feb 2021	23 Feb 2021	W 2-0	2.09	1.64	3	+1.36	+3.73	+€1.09
M31	Barrow · Home27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	W 1-0	1.96	1.71	3	+1.29	+5.01	+€0.96
M32	Oldham · Away2 Mar 2021	2 Mar 2021	W 2-0	2.04	1.64	3	+1.36	+6.38	+€1.04
M33	Bradford · Away6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	D 1-1	2.70	1.35	1	−0.35	+6.03	−€1.00
M34	Cambridge · Home9 Mar 2021	9 Mar 2021	W 2-1	2.00	1.69	3	+1.31	+7.34	+€1.00
M35	Port Vale · Away13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	W 1-0	2.20	1.56	3	+1.44	+8.78	+€1.20
M36	Walsall · Home20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	W 2-1	1.74	1.89	3	+1.11	+9.89	+€0.74
M37	Forest Green · Away27 Mar 2021	27 Mar 2021	W 1-0	2.28	1.52	3	+1.48	+11.37	+€1.28
M38	Colchester · Home2 Apr 2021	2 Apr 2021	D 0-0	1.63	1.97	1	−0.97	+10.40	−€1.00
M39	Newport County · Away5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	L 0-1	2.46	1.45	0	−1.45	+8.95	−€1.00
M40	Harrogate · Home10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	W 2-1	1.84	1.80	3	+1.20	+10.15	+€0.84
M41	Salford · Away13 Apr 2021	13 Apr 2021	W 1-0	2.83	1.31	3	+1.69	+11.84	+€1.83
M42	Grimsby · Away17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	L 1-2	1.94	1.74	0	−1.74	+10.10	−€1.00
M43	Carlisle · Home20 Apr 2021	20 Apr 2021	W 1-0	2.29	1.52	3	+1.48	+11.58	+€1.29
M44	Morecambe · Away24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	W 1-0	2.66	1.37	3	+1.63	+13.22	+€1.66
M45	Exeter · Home1 May 2021	1 May 2021	L 1-2	2.08	1.63	0	−1.63	+11.58	−€1.00
M46	Crawley Town · Away8 May 2021	8 May 2021	W 4-1	1.65	1.95	3	+1.05	+12.63	+€0.65
Total					66.37	79	+12.63		+€9.64